The Most Important Games for the Toronto FC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Toronto FC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toronto FC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toronto FC Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Toronto FC (6‑10‑11) vs CF Montréal (6‑15‑6) |
25 | Toronto FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 79% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% | ||
| Fire (12‑8‑6) vs NY City FC (8‑10‑9) |
5 | Fire Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 79% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 80% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (12‑5‑10) vs D.C. United (6‑8‑12) |
4 | Inter Miami CF Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 79% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 81% | ||
| San Diego FC (8‑11‑8) vs Red Bull (9‑12‑6) |
4 | San Diego FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 79% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 81% | ||
| Atlanta United (7‑14‑6) vs FC Cincinnati (8‑9‑9) |
3 | Atlanta United Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 79% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 79% | ||
| Crew (8‑14‑5) vs Orlando City SC (10‑13‑4) |
3 | Crew Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 79% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 79% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (9‑13‑5) vs Union (11‑10‑6) |
2 | Real Salt Lake Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 79% | ||
| Union Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 79% | ||
| Revolution (14‑9‑4) vs Sounders (10‑9‑8) |
1 | Revolution Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 79% | ||
| Sounders Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 79% | ||
| Whitecaps (15‑6‑5) vs Fire (12‑8‑6) |
1 | Whitecaps Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 79% | ||
| Fire Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 78% | ||
| FC Dallas (13‑6‑8) vs Charlotte FC (12‑8‑7) |
0 | FC Dallas Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 79% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 78% | ||
| Austin FC (7‑10‑10) vs Nashville SC (18‑3‑6) |
0 | Austin FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 79% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 79% | ||