The Most Important Games for the Air Force Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Air Force Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Grand Canyon (1‑0) vs UC Davis (1‑1) |
1 | Grand Canyon Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | ||
| UC Davis Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 17% | ||
| New Mexico (1‑0) vs UTEP (0‑1) |
0 | New Mexico Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | ||
| UTEP Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 18% | ||
| Wyoming (2‑0) vs Nevada (1‑0) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Nevada Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 17% | ||
| San José State (1‑0) vs Hawai'i (2‑0) |
0 | San José State Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Hawai'i Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | ||