The Most Important Games for the Utah St. Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Utah St. Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Utah St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Utah St. (16‑3) vs Wyoming (12‑8) |
12 | Utah St. Wins | 26% | 22% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 16% | 18% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boise St. (13‑8) vs Grand Canyon (13‑7) |
3 | Boise St. Wins | 26% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | 24% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV (10‑10) vs Nevada (14‑6) |
1 | UNLV Wins | 25% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nevada Wins | 25% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San José State (6‑15) vs New Mexico (17‑4) |
1 | San José State Wins | 27% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 24% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado St. (12‑8) vs San Diego St. (14‑5) |
1 | Colorado St. Wins | 27% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | 23% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Air Force (3‑17) vs Fresno St. (9‑11) |
0 | Air Force Wins | 24% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fresno St. Wins | 24% | 22% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||