The Most Important Games for the Boise State Broncos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Broncos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Boise State Broncos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Boise State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Boise State (4‑2) vs UNLV (6‑0) |
30 | Boise State Wins | 34% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 5% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado St. (2‑4) vs Hawaii (5‑2) |
1 | Colorado St. Wins | 21% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Hawaii Wins | 20% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Air Force (1‑5) vs Wyoming (3‑3) |
1 | Air Force Wins | 20% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| San José State (2‑4) vs Utah St. (3‑3) |
1 | San José State Wins | 21% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 20% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Nevada (1‑5) vs New Mexico (3‑3) |
0 | Nevada Wins | 20% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||