The Boise State Broncos What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Boise State plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
Win Next Game | 7 | 0 | 77% | 23% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 6 | 0 | 73% | 26% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 1 | 28% | 66% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
Best Case Scenario | 77% | 23% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 73% | 26% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Worst Case Scenario | 28% | 66% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Best Case Scenario Boise State beats Wyoming |
Worst Case Scenario Wyoming beats Boise State |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | ||
1 of 1 | 100% | 7 | 0 | 77% | 23% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
0 of 1 | 0% | 6 | 1 | 27% | 67% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |