The Most Important Games for the Fresno State Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fresno State Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fresno State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Fresno State (5‑1) vs Colorado St. (1‑4) |
17 | Fresno State Wins | 28% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | 13% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Air Force (1‑4) vs UNLV (5‑0) |
4 | Air Force Wins | 30% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nevada (1‑4) vs San Diego State (4‑1) |
3 | Nevada Wins | 27% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego State Wins | 25% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming (2‑3) vs San José State (2‑3) |
1 | Wyoming Wins | 25% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San José State Wins | 25% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hawaii (4‑2) vs Utah St. (3‑2) |
0 | Hawaii Wins | 25% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Mexico (3‑2) vs Boise State (3‑2) |
0 | New Mexico Wins | 25% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boise State Wins | 25% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||