The Nevada Wolf Pack What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Nevada plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 3 | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 24% | 33% | 17% | 20% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 2 | 3 | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 22% | 29% | 18% | 19% | 7% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 4 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 14% | 25% | 25% | 19% | 16% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | 2% | 4% | 4% | 17% | 29% | 27% | 17% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 22% | 29% | 18% | 19% | 7% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | <1% | 15% | 25% | 23% | 20% | 16% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Nevada beats Northern Illinois UTEP beats Wyoming Hawaii beats North Dakota St. |
Worst Case Scenario Northern Illinois beats Nevada Wyoming beats UTEP North Dakota St. beats Hawaii |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 5 | 3 | X | 1% | 5% | 25% | 66% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 4 | 4 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 48% | 40% | 11% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 26% | 37% | 36% | 1% | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 47% | 53% | <1% |