Are the Nevada Wolf Pack going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Nevada standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| Fresno State | 1i Fresno State Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Ga. Southern 42-14 Won Sat, Sep 06 @ Oregon St. 36-27 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Southern 56-7 Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Hawaii 23-21 Sat, Oct 04 vs Nevada Fri, Oct 10 @ Colorado St. Sat, Oct 25 vs San Diego State Sat, Nov 01 @ Boise State |
0 | 1 | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Boise State | 1 Boise State Recent Games Lost Thu, Aug 28 @ South Florida 7-34 Won Fri, Sep 05 vs Eastern Washington 51-14 Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Air Force 49-37 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs App. St. 47-14 Sat, Oct 04 @ Notre Dame Sat, Oct 11 vs New Mexico Sat, Oct 18 vs UNLV Fri, Oct 24 @ Nevada |
0 | 1 | 14% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Utah St. | 1 Utah St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Texas A&M 22-44 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Air Force 49-30 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs McNeese 48-7 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Vanderbilt 35-55 Sat, Oct 11 @ Hawaii Fri, Oct 17 vs San José State Sat, Oct 25 @ New Mexico Sat, Nov 08 vs Nevada |
0 | 1 | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Hawaii | 1 Hawaii Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Sam Houston 37-20 Won Sat, Sep 13 vs Portland State 23-3 Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs Fresno State 21-23 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ Air Force 44-35 Sat, Oct 11 vs Utah St. Sat, Oct 18 @ Colorado St. Sat, Nov 01 @ San José State Sat, Nov 08 vs San Diego State |
1 | 2 | 4% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% |
| UNLV | 0 UNLV Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 23 vs Idaho State 38-31 Won Fri, Aug 29 @ Sam Houston 38-21 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs UCLA 30-23 Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Miami OH 41-38 Sat, Oct 04 @ Wyoming Sat, Oct 11 vs Air Force Sat, Oct 18 @ Boise State Sat, Nov 01 vs New Mexico |
0 | 0 | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| San Diego State | 0 San Diego State Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 vs Stony Brook 42-0 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Wash. St. 13-36 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs California 34-0 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ N. Illinois 6-3 Fri, Oct 03 vs Colorado St. Sat, Oct 11 @ Nevada Sat, Oct 25 @ Fresno State Sat, Nov 01 vs Wyoming |
0 | 0 | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| New Mexico | 0 New Mexico Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Michigan 17-34 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Idaho State 32-22 Won Fri, Sep 12 @ UCLA 35-10 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs New Mexico St. 38-20 Fri, Oct 03 @ San José State Sat, Oct 11 @ Boise State Sat, Oct 18 vs Nevada Sat, Oct 25 vs Utah St. |
0 | 0 | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Wyoming | 0 Wyoming Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 @ Akron 10-0 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Northern Iowa 31-7 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Utah 6-31 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Colorado 20-37 Sat, Oct 04 vs UNLV Sat, Oct 11 vs San José State Sat, Oct 18 @ Air Force Sat, Oct 25 vs Colorado St. |
0 | 0 | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% |
| San José State | 0 San José State Recent Games Lost Fri, Aug 29 vs C. Michigan 14-16 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Texas 7-38 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Idaho 31-28 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Stanford 29-30 Fri, Oct 03 vs New Mexico Sat, Oct 11 @ Wyoming Fri, Oct 17 @ Utah St. Sat, Nov 01 vs Hawaii |
0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 18% |
| Colorado St. | 0 Colorado St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Wash. 21-38 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Northern Colorado 21-17 Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs UTSA 16-17 Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Wash. St. 3-20 Fri, Oct 03 @ San Diego State Fri, Oct 10 vs Fresno State Sat, Oct 18 vs Hawaii Sat, Oct 25 @ Wyoming |
0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 19% |
| Nevada | 0 Nevada Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Penn St. 11-46 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Sacramento State 20-17 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Middle Tenn. St. 13-14 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ W. Kentucky 16-31 Sat, Oct 04 @ Fresno State Sat, Oct 11 vs San Diego State Sat, Oct 18 @ New Mexico Fri, Oct 24 vs Boise State |
0 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 21% |
| Air Force | 0 Air Force Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Bucknell 49-13 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Utah St. 30-49 Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs Boise State 37-49 Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Hawaii 35-44 Sat, Oct 04 @ Navy Sat, Oct 11 @ UNLV Sat, Oct 18 vs Wyoming Sat, Nov 01 vs Black Knights |
3 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 26% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)Fresno State | 1 | 0 | <1% |
| (2)Boise State | 1 | 0 | <1% |
| (5)UNLV | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (6)San Diego State | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (7)New Mexico | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (4)Hawaii | 1 | 1 | <1% |
| (3)Utah St. | 1 | 0 | <1% |
| (8)Wyoming | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (10)Colorado St. | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (9)San José State | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| (12)Air Force | 0 | 3 | <1% |
| Elimination | 99% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fresno State (4‑1) |
Away | Sat Oct 4, 10:30 pm | |
| 7 | San Diego State (3‑1) |
Home | Sat Oct 11, 10:30 pm | |
| 8 | New Mexico (3‑1) |
Away | Sat Oct 18, TBD | |
| 9 | Boise State (3‑1) |
Home | Fri Oct 24, 10:00 pm | |
| 11 | Utah St. (3‑2) |
Away | Sat Nov 8, 7:30 pm | |
| 12 | San José State (1‑3) |
Home | Sat Nov 15, 3:30 pm | |
| 13 | Wyoming (2‑2) |
Away | Sat Nov 22, 2:00 pm | |
| 14 | UNLV (4‑0) |
Home | Sat Nov 29, 9:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn St. (3‑1) |
Big 10Big 10 | 11‑46 | Away | Sat Aug 30, 3:30 pm |
| 2 | Sacramento State | ‑‑ | 20‑17 | Home | Sat Sep 6, 5:00 pm |
| 3 | Middle Tenn. St. (1‑4) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 13‑14 | Home | Sat Sep 13, 5:00 pm |
| 4 | W. Kentucky (4‑1) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 16‑31 | Away | Sat Sep 20, 7:00 pm |