The Most Important Games for the San Diego State Aztecs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aztecs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. San Diego State Aztecs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
San Diego State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| San Diego State (4‑1) vs Nevada (1‑4) |
14 | San Diego State Wins | 16% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Nevada Wins | 6% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Air Force (1‑4) vs UNLV (5‑0) |
5 | Air Force Wins | 19% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Colorado St. (1‑4) vs Fresno State (5‑1) |
2 | Colorado St. Wins | 16% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Fresno State Wins | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Hawaii (4‑2) vs Utah St. (3‑2) |
2 | Hawaii Wins | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| New Mexico (3‑2) vs Boise State (3‑2) |
2 | New Mexico Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Boise State Wins | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| San José State (2‑3) vs Wyoming (2‑3) |
0 | San José State Wins | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||