The Most Important Games for the San Diego State Aztecs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aztecs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. San Diego State Aztecs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
San Diego State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| San José State (6‑4) vs UNLV (8‑2) |
0 | San José State Wins | X | X | X | 7% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 28% | 19% | 10% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 10% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 24% | 16% | 10% | 4% | <1% | ||
| UNLV Wins | X | X | X | 11% | 13% | 15% | 10% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 3% | <1% | ||
| San Diego State (3‑7) vs Utah St. (3‑7) |
0 | San Diego State Wins | X | X | X | 22% | 24% | 20% | 12% | 16% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 10% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 24% | 16% | 10% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | X | X | X | X | 3% | 8% | 10% | 32% | 24% | 16% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Wyoming (2‑8) vs Boise State (9‑1) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | X | X | X | 12% | 18% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 10% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 24% | 16% | 10% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Boise State Wins | X | X | X | 10% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 26% | 18% | 10% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Fresno State (5‑5) vs Colorado St. (7‑3) |
0 | Fresno State Wins | X | X | X | 6% | 10% | 16% | 12% | 32% | 10% | 10% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 10% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 24% | 16% | 10% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | X | X | X | 13% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 19% | 20% | 10% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Nevada (3‑8) vs Air Force (3‑7) |
0 | Nevada Wins | X | X | X | 10% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 27% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | 10% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 24% | 16% | 10% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Air Force Wins | X | X | X | 9% | 11% | 12% | 9% | 21% | 22% | 15% | 1% | ^ | ||