The Most Important Games for the San Diego State Aztecs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aztecs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. San Diego State Aztecs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
San Diego State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| San Diego State (8‑2) vs San José State (3‑7) |
29 | San Diego State Wins | 62% | 18% | 14% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 58% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San José State Wins | 33% | 17% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Air Force (3‑7) vs New Mexico (7‑3) |
20 | Air Force Wins | 76% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 58% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 53% | 18% | 16% | 9% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UNLV (8‑2) vs Hawaii (7‑3) |
6 | UNLV Wins | 60% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 58% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Hawaii Wins | 58% | 15% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fresno State (7‑3) vs Utah St. (5‑5) |
4 | Fresno State Wins | 59% | 18% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 58% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 56% | 16% | 17% | 8% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boise State (6‑4) vs Colorado St. (2‑8) |
2 | Boise State Wins | 59% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 58% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | 53% | 20% | 18% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wyoming (4‑6) vs Nevada (2‑8) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | 58% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 58% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nevada Wins | 58% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||