The UNLV Rebels What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how UNLV plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 0 | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 0 | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 4% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 1 | 2% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 5% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 7 | 1 | 74% | 24% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 6 | 2 | 15% | 48% | 31% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 6% | 31% | 41% | 19% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 4 | 4 | X | <1% | 1% | 13% | 36% | 36% | 12% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 20% | 40% | 30% | 6% | <1% |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 8% | 32% | 46% | 14% |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 30% | 66% |