PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Sep 27 11:30 pm

Mountain West Football - Week 6 of 14

UNLV Rebels Standings

Are the UNLV Rebels going to play in the Conference Championship game? The UNLV standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mountain West Football Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
8 game season
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Fresno State 1i
Fresno State Recent Games

Won  Sat, Aug 30 vs Ga. Southern    42-14
Won  Sat, Sep 06 @  Oregon St.      36-27
Won  Sat, Sep 13 vs Southern        56-7 
Won  Sat, Sep 20 @  Hawaii          23-21
     Sat, Oct 04 vs Nevada          
     Fri, Oct 10 @  Colorado St.    
     Sat, Oct 25 vs San Diego State 
     Sat, Nov 01 @  Boise State     

0 1 21% 17% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Boise State 1
Boise State Recent Games

Lost Thu, Aug 28 @  South Florida    7-34
Won  Fri, Sep 05 vs Eastern Washington 51-14
Won  Sat, Sep 20 @  Air Force       49-37
Won  Sat, Sep 27 vs App. St.        47-14
     Sat, Oct 04 @  Notre Dame      
     Sat, Oct 11 vs New Mexico      
     Sat, Oct 18 vs UNLV            
     Fri, Oct 24 @  Nevada          

0 1 14% 12% 11% 11% 10% 10% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1%
 
Utah St. 1
Utah St. Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 06 @  Texas A&M       22-44
Won  Sat, Sep 13 vs Air Force       49-30
Won  Sat, Sep 20 vs McNeese         48-7 
Lost Sat, Sep 27 @  Vanderbilt      35-55
     Sat, Oct 11 @  Hawaii          
     Fri, Oct 17 vs San José State  
     Sat, Oct 25 @  New Mexico      
     Sat, Nov 08 vs Nevada          

0 1 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1%
Hawaii 1
Hawaii Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 06 vs Sam Houston     37-20
Won  Sat, Sep 13 vs Portland State  23-3 
Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs Fresno State    21-23
Won  Sat, Sep 27 @  Air Force       44-35
     Sat, Oct 11 vs Utah St.        
     Sat, Oct 18 @  Colorado St.    
     Sat, Nov 01 @  San José State  
     Sat, Nov 08 vs San Diego State 

1 2 4% 8% 10% 12% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 4% 2%
UNLV 0
UNLV Recent Games

Won  Sat, Aug 23 vs Idaho State     38-31
Won  Fri, Aug 29 @  Sam Houston     38-21
Won  Sat, Sep 06 vs UCLA            30-23
Won  Sat, Sep 20 @  Miami OH        41-38
     Sat, Oct 04 @  Wyoming         
     Sat, Oct 11 vs Air Force       
     Sat, Oct 18 @  Boise State     
     Sat, Nov 01 vs New Mexico      

0 0 17% 15% 13% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1%
San Diego State 0
San Diego State Recent Games

Won  Thu, Aug 28 vs Stony Brook     42-0 
Lost Sat, Sep 06 @  Wash. St.       13-36
Won  Sat, Sep 20 vs California      34-0 
Won  Sat, Sep 27 @  N. Illinois      6-3 
     Fri, Oct 03 vs Colorado St.    
     Sat, Oct 11 @  Nevada          
     Sat, Oct 25 @  Fresno State    
     Sat, Nov 01 vs Wyoming         

0 0 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2%
New Mexico 0
New Mexico Recent Games

Lost Sat, Aug 30 @  Michigan        17-34
Won  Sat, Sep 06 vs Idaho State     32-22
Won  Fri, Sep 12 @  UCLA            35-10
Won  Sat, Sep 27 vs New Mexico St.  38-20
     Fri, Oct 03 @  San José State  
     Sat, Oct 11 @  Boise State     
     Sat, Oct 18 vs Nevada          
     Sat, Oct 25 vs Utah St.        

0 0 13% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2%
Wyoming 0
Wyoming Recent Games

Won  Thu, Aug 28 @  Akron           10-0 
Won  Sat, Sep 06 vs Northern Iowa   31-7 
Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Utah             6-31
Lost Sat, Sep 20 @  Colorado        20-37
     Sat, Oct 04 vs UNLV            
     Sat, Oct 11 vs San José State  
     Sat, Oct 18 @  Air Force       
     Sat, Oct 25 vs Colorado St.    

0 0 5% 7% 8% 9% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7%
San José State 0
San José State Recent Games

Lost Fri, Aug 29 vs C. Michigan     14-16
Lost Sat, Sep 06 @  Texas            7-38
Won  Sat, Sep 20 vs Idaho           31-28
Lost Sat, Sep 27 @  Stanford        29-30
     Fri, Oct 03 vs New Mexico      
     Sat, Oct 11 @  Wyoming         
     Fri, Oct 17 @  Utah St.        
     Sat, Nov 01 vs Hawaii          

0 0 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 13% 15% 18%
Colorado St. 0
Colorado St. Recent Games

Lost Sat, Aug 30 @  Wash.           21-38
Won  Sat, Sep 06 vs Northern Colorado 21-17
Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs UTSA            16-17
Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Wash. St.        3-20
     Fri, Oct 03 @  San Diego State 
     Fri, Oct 10 vs Fresno State    
     Sat, Oct 18 vs Hawaii          
     Sat, Oct 25 @  Wyoming         

0 0 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 8% 10% 12% 14% 17% 19%
Nevada 0
Nevada Recent Games

Lost Sat, Aug 30 @  Penn St.        11-46
Won  Sat, Sep 06 vs Sacramento State 20-17
Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Middle Tenn. St. 13-14
Lost Sat, Sep 20 @  W. Kentucky     16-31
     Sat, Oct 04 @  Fresno State    
     Sat, Oct 11 vs San Diego State 
     Sat, Oct 18 @  New Mexico      
     Fri, Oct 24 vs Boise State     

0 0 <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 8% 9% 12% 15% 19% 21%
Air Force 0
Air Force Recent Games

Won  Sat, Aug 30 vs Bucknell        49-13
Lost Sat, Sep 13 @  Utah St.        30-49
Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs Boise State     37-49
Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Hawaii          35-44
     Sat, Oct 04 @  Navy            
     Sat, Oct 11 @  UNLV            
     Sat, Oct 18 vs Wyoming         
     Sat, Nov 01 vs Black Knights   

3 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 10% 13% 17% 21% 26%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant


(5) Rebels 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
(1)Fresno State 1 0 10%
(6)San Diego State 0 0 6%
(2)Boise State 1 0 5%
(7)New Mexico 0 0 4%
(3)Utah St. 1 0 3%
(8)Wyoming 0 0 2%
(4)Hawaii 1 1 1%
(9)San José State 0 0 1%
(10)Colorado St. 0 0 <1%
(11)Nevada 0 0 <1%
(12)Air Force 0 3 <1%
Elimination 68%



Rebels Conference Schedule
Current Week 6
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
6 Wyoming
(2‑2)
  Away Sat Oct 4, 7:00 pm
7 Air Force
(1‑3)
  Home Sat Oct 11, 3:30 pm
8 Boise State
(3‑1)
  Away Sat Oct 18, TBD
10 New Mexico
(3‑1)
  Home Sat Nov 1, 3:00 pm
11 Colorado St.
(1‑3)
  Away Sat Nov 8, TBD
12 Utah St.
(3‑2)
  Home Sat Nov 15, 7:00 pm
13 Hawaii
(4‑2)
  Home Fri Nov 21, 10:30 pm
14 Nevada
(1‑3)
  Away Sat Nov 29, 9:00 pm


Rebels Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Idaho State ‑‑ 38‑31 Home Sat Aug 23, 4:00 pm
1 Sam Houston
(0‑4)
Conference USAConf. USA 38‑21 Away Fri Aug 29, 9:30 pm
2 UCLA
(0‑4)
Big 10Big 10 30‑23 Home Sat Sep 6, 8:00 pm
4 Miami OH
(1‑3)
MACMAC 41‑38 Away Sat Sep 20, 12:00 pm