PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Oct 21 1:45 am

NFL - Week 8 of 18

Cowboys What If?

The Cowboys What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Cowboys play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cowboys What If?

Next Game - Broncos (5‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 4 3 1 1% 3% 6% 11% 4% 6% 7% 62%
Current Standings 3 3 1 <1% 2% 4% 9% 3% 5% 6% 70%
Lose Next Game 3 4 1 <1% 1% 3% 9% 2% 4% 6% 75%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 1% 3% 8% 16% 2% 4% 6% 59%
Current Standings <1% 2% 4% 9% 3% 5% 6% 70%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 1% 3% 8% 2% 4% 6% 76%
Best Case Scenario
   Giants beats Eagles
   Cowboys beats Broncos
Worst Case Scenario
   Eagles beats Giants
   Broncos beats Cowboys
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
10 of 10 100% 13 3 1 32% 43% 17% 2% 6% <1% <1% ^
9 of 10 90% 12 4 1 5% 24% 35% 14% 18% 4% <1% <1%
8 of 10 80% 11 5 1 <1% 4% 22% 29% 17% 20% 6% 1%
7 of 10 70% 10 6 1 <1% <1% 5% 27% 5% 21% 25% 16%
6 of 10 60% 9 7 1 <1% <1% 1% 14% <1% 4% 16% 65%
5 of 10 50% 8 8 1 <1% <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% 1% 95%
4 of 10 40% 7 9 1 X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
3 of 10 30% 6 10 1 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 10 20% 5 11 1 X X X <1% X X <1% >99%
1 of 10 10% 4 12 1 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 10 0% 3 13 1 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs