The Forty-Niners What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Forty-Niners play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 40% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 42% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 46% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 15% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 39% |
| Current Standings | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 42% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 8% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% |
|
Best Case Scenario Vikings beats Bears Cardinals beats Seahawks Forty-Niners beats Dolphins |
Worst Case Scenario Bears beats Vikings Seahawks beats Cardinals Dolphins beats Forty-Niners |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 16 of 16 | 100% | 17 | 0 | 0 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 16 | 94% | 16 | 1 | 0 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 16 | 88% | 15 | 2 | 0 | 74% | 22% | 1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 16 | 81% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 39% | 39% | 10% | 1% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 16 | 75% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 11% | 32% | 24% | 4% | 25% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 16 | 69% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1% | 12% | 25% | 10% | 31% | 18% | 3% | <1% |
| 10 of 16 | 63% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 2% | 13% | 14% | 19% | 31% | 16% | 4% |
| 9 of 16 | 56% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 23% | 31% | 25% |
| 8 of 16 | 50% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 22% | 63% |
| 7 of 16 | 44% | 8 | 9 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 90% |
| 6 of 16 | 38% | 7 | 10 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| 5 of 16 | 31% | 6 | 11 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 4 of 16 | 25% | 5 | 12 | 0 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 3 of 16 | 19% | 4 | 13 | 0 | X | X | X | <1% | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 2 of 16 | 13% | 3 | 14 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 1 of 16 | 6% | 2 | 15 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 16 | 0% | 1 | 16 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |