The Packers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Packers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Win Next Game | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3% | 3% | <1% | <1% | 27% | 36% | 26% | 5% |
Current Standings | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 24% | 32% | 27% | 11% |
Lose Next Game | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 27% | 34% | 21% |
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Best Case Scenario | 5% | 5% | <1% | <1% | 30% | 30% | 24% | 6% |
Current Standings | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 24% | 32% | 27% | 11% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 27% | 36% | 22% |
Best Case Scenario Bears beats Vikings Colts beats Lions Packers beats Forty-Niners |
Worst Case Scenario Vikings beats Bears Lions beats Colts Forty-Niners beats Packers |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
7 of 7 | 100% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 33% | 15% | X | X | 52% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 7 | 86% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 6% | 10% | <1% | X | 67% | 17% | 1% | ^ |
5 of 7 | 71% | 12 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 36% | 48% | 13% | <1% |
4 of 7 | 57% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 43% | 46% | 2% |
3 of 7 | 43% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 60% | 25% |
2 of 7 | 29% | 9 | 8 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 21% | 78% |
1 of 7 | 14% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
0 of 7 | 0% | 7 | 10 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |