PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 19 11:15 pm

NFL - Week 7 of 18

Packers What If?

The Packers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Packers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Packers What If?

Next Game - Steelers (4‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 5 1 1 14% 13% 11% 7% 10% 10% 9% 25%
Current Standings 4 1 1 11% 11% 10% 7% 9% 9% 8% 34%
Lose Next Game 4 2 1 6% 10% 10% 9% 8% 10% 9% 39%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 19% 12% 9% 6% 11% 10% 8% 25%
Current Standings 11% 11% 10% 7% 9% 9% 8% 34%
Worst Case Scenario 6% 9% 11% 9% 8% 9% 9% 39%
Best Case Scenario
   Texans beats Forty-Niners
   Saints beats Buccaneers
   Packers beats Steelers
Worst Case Scenario
   Forty-Niners beats Texans
   Buccaneers beats Saints
   Steelers beats Packers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
11 of 11 100% 15 1 1 94% 6% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 of 11 91% 14 2 1 72% 26% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
9 of 11 82% 13 3 1 33% 45% 17% 1% 4% <1% <1% ^
8 of 11 73% 12 4 1 6% 29% 34% 11% 17% 3% <1% <1%
7 of 11 64% 11 5 1 <1% 6% 23% 24% 23% 20% 5% <1%
6 of 11 55% 10 6 1 <1% <1% 4% 18% 9% 28% 28% 12%
5 of 11 45% 9 7 1 <1% <1% <1% 7% 1% 7% 23% 62%
4 of 11 36% 8 8 1 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 3% 96%
3 of 11 27% 7 9 1 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 11 18% 6 10 1 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
1 of 11 9% 5 11 1 X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 11 0% 4 12 1 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs