The Packers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Packers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Win Next Game | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 25% |
Current Standings | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 34% |
Lose Next Game | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 39% |
Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Best Case Scenario | 19% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 25% |
Current Standings | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 34% |
Worst Case Scenario | 6% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 39% |
Best Case Scenario Texans beats Forty-Niners Saints beats Buccaneers Packers beats Steelers |
Worst Case Scenario Forty-Niners beats Texans Buccaneers beats Saints Steelers beats Packers |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
11 of 11 | 100% | 15 | 1 | 1 | 94% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
10 of 11 | 91% | 14 | 2 | 1 | 72% | 26% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
9 of 11 | 82% | 13 | 3 | 1 | 33% | 45% | 17% | 1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
8 of 11 | 73% | 12 | 4 | 1 | 6% | 29% | 34% | 11% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
7 of 11 | 64% | 11 | 5 | 1 | <1% | 6% | 23% | 24% | 23% | 20% | 5% | <1% |
6 of 11 | 55% | 10 | 6 | 1 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 9% | 28% | 28% | 12% |
5 of 11 | 45% | 9 | 7 | 1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 62% |
4 of 11 | 36% | 8 | 8 | 1 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 96% |
3 of 11 | 27% | 7 | 9 | 1 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 11 | 18% | 6 | 10 | 1 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 11 | 9% | 5 | 11 | 1 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
0 of 11 | 0% | 4 | 12 | 1 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |