The Packers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Packers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5% | 10% | 2% | <1% | 22% | 22% | 17% | 23% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3% | 7% | 1% | <1% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 34% |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 12% | 20% | 21% | 44% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 9% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 22% |
| Current Standings | 3% | 7% | 1% | <1% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 34% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | 11% | 19% | 21% | 46% |
|
Best Case Scenario Patriots beats Lions Packers beats Vikings Cowboys beats Forty-Niners |
Worst Case Scenario Lions beats Patriots Vikings beats Packers Forty-Niners beats Cowboys |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 48% | 38% | 1% | X | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 17% | 36% | 3% | X | 41% | 4% | <1% | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2% | 13% | 4% | <1% | 51% | 27% | 3% | <1% |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 46% | 23% | 5% |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 24% | 43% | 30% |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 78% |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 7 | 10 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 6 | 11 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |