The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Mercyhurst (10‑11) vs New Haven (9‑11) |
8 | Mercyhurst Wins | 6% | 20% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 18% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||
| New Haven Wins | 2% | 13% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Chicago St. (2‑19) vs St. Francis (6‑14) |
1 | Chicago St. Wins | 5% | 18% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 18% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||
| St. Francis Wins | 5% | 18% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wagner (6‑12) vs Central Conn. (10‑9) |
1 | Wagner Wins | 5% | 19% | 25% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 18% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Central Conn. Wins | 5% | 17% | 23% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Long Island U. (12‑8) vs Le Moyne (11‑10) |
1 | Long Island U. Wins | 4% | 19% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 18% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Le Moyne Wins | 6% | 14% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Fair. Dickinson (7‑14) vs Stonehill (7‑14) |
0 | Fair. Dickinson Wins | 5% | 18% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 18% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Stonehill Wins | 5% | 17% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||