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Sat Aug 30 5:00 pm

Serie A - Week 2 of 40

Bologna What If?

The Bologna What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Bologna What If?

Next Game - AC Milan (1‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 2 1 0 6 7% 7% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 9%
Current Standings 1 1 0 3 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 14%
Lose Next Game 1 2 0 3 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% 17%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 13%
Current Standings 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 14%
Worst Case Scenario 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 14%
Best Case Scenario
   Udinese beats Internazionale
   Hellas Verona beats Lazio
 Worst Case Scenario
   Internazionale beats Udinese
   Lazio beats Hellas Verona
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
36 of 36 100% 37 1 0 111 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 36 97% 36 2 0 108 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 36 83% 31 7 0 93 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 36 69% 26 12 0 78 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 36 64% 24 14 0 72 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 36 61% 23 15 0 69 72% 25% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
21 of 36 58% 22 16 0 66 42% 41% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
20 of 36 56% 21 17 0 63 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
19 of 36 53% 20 18 0 60 1% 7% 22% 31% 25% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 36 50% 19 19 0 57 <1% <1% 1% 7% 19% 28% 25% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 36 47% 18 20 0 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 10% 21% 28% 22% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 36 44% 17 21 0 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 10% 22% 29% 22% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 36 42% 16 22 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 12% 25% 28% 20% 8% 2%
14 of 36 39% 15 23 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 23% 32% 34%
13 of 36 36% 14 24 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 84%
10 of 36 28% 11 27 0 33 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 36 14% 6 32 0 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 36 0% 1 37 0 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round