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Mon Sep 29 4:45 pm

Serie A - Week 7 of 40

Cagliari What If?

The Cagliari What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cagliari What If?

Next Game - Udinese (2‑2‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 3 2 1 10 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6%
Current Standings 2 2 1 7 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 8%
Lose Next Game 2 3 1 7 <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 9%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6%
Current Standings 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 8%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 9%
Best Case Scenario
   Cagliari beats Udinese
 Worst Case Scenario
   Udinese beats Cagliari
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
33 of 33 100% 35 2 1 106 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 33 91% 32 5 1 97 89% 10% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 33 88% 31 6 1 94 78% 21% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 33 85% 30 7 1 91 63% 33% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 33 82% 29 8 1 88 45% 44% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 33 79% 28 9 1 85 28% 47% 22% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 33 76% 27 10 1 82 14% 41% 34% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 33 73% 26 11 1 79 6% 27% 40% 22% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 33 70% 25 12 1 76 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 33 67% 24 13 1 73 <1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 33 64% 23 14 1 70 <1% 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 33 61% 22 15 1 67 <1% <1% 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
19 of 33 58% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 28% 32% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
18 of 33 55% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 28% 31% 17% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
17 of 33 52% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 29% 30% 16% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 33 48% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 15% 29% 30% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 33 45% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 33 42% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 33 39% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 31% 31% 15% 4% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 33 36% 14 23 1 43 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% <1% <1%
11 of 33 33% 13 24 1 40 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% <1%
10 of 33 30% 12 25 1 37 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
9 of 33 27% 11 26 1 34 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 35% 29% 12%
8 of 33 24% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 23% 38% 34%
7 of 33 21% 9 28 1 28 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 28% 64%
6 of 33 18% 8 29 1 25 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 87%
5 of 33 15% 7 30 1 22 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 97%
0 of 33 0% 2 35 1 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round