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Mon Sep 29 4:45 pm

Serie A - Week 7 of 40

Genoa What If?

The Genoa What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Genoa What If?

Next Game - Napoli (4‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 1 3 2 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 10% 12% 45%
Current Standings 0 3 2 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 11% 53%
Lose Next Game 0 4 2 2 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 11% 54%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 10% 12% 45%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 11% 53%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 11% 54%
Best Case Scenario
   Genoa beats Napoli
 Worst Case Scenario
   Napoli beats Genoa
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
33 of 33 100% 33 3 2 101 99% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
31 of 33 94% 31 5 2 95 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 33 91% 30 6 2 92 76% 22% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 33 88% 29 7 2 89 59% 35% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 33 85% 28 8 2 86 41% 45% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 33 82% 27 9 2 83 24% 45% 25% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 33 79% 26 10 2 80 11% 36% 36% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 33 76% 25 11 2 77 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 33 73% 24 12 2 74 1% 9% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 33 70% 23 13 2 71 <1% 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 33 67% 22 14 2 68 <1% <1% 5% 17% 32% 29% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
21 of 33 64% 21 15 2 65 <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
20 of 33 61% 20 16 2 62 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 21% 31% 26% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
19 of 33 58% 19 17 2 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 21% 32% 25% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 33 55% 18 18 2 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 33 52% 17 19 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 20% 32% 26% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 33 48% 16 20 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 33 45% 15 21 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 3% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 33 42% 14 22 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 18% 32% 28% 13% 2% <1% <1%
13 of 33 39% 13 23 2 41 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2% <1%
12 of 33 36% 12 24 2 38 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2%
11 of 33 33% 11 25 2 35 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 11%
10 of 33 30% 10 26 2 32 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 23% 38% 33%
9 of 33 27% 9 27 2 29 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 28% 64%
8 of 33 24% 8 28 2 26 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 87%
5 of 33 15% 5 31 2 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 33 0% 0 36 2 2 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round