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Sun Oct 6 5:00 pm

Serie A - Week 9 of 41

Lecce What If?

The Lecce What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Lecce What If?

Next Game - Fiorentina (2‑1‑4)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 2 4 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 13% 55%
Current Standings 1 4 2 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 8% 12% 61%
Lose Next Game 1 5 2 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 8% 11% 64%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 13% 55%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 8% 12% 61%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 8% 11% 64%
Best Case Scenario
   Lecce beats Fiorentina
 Worst Case Scenario
   Fiorentina beats Lecce
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 8#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
31 of 31 100% 32 4 2 98 99% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 31 5 2 95 96% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 31 94% 30 6 2 92 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 31 90% 29 7 2 89 78% 20% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 31 87% 28 8 2 86 60% 35% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 31 84% 27 9 2 83 41% 44% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 26 10 2 80 22% 45% 27% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 31 77% 25 11 2 77 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 31 74% 24 12 2 74 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 31 71% 23 13 2 71 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 31 68% 22 14 2 68 <1% 1% 8% 24% 34% 23% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 21 15 2 65 <1% <1% 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 31 61% 20 16 2 62 <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 31 58% 19 17 2 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 22% 32% 24% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 31 55% 18 18 2 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 21% 31% 26% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 31 52% 17 19 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 18% 31% 28% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 31 48% 16 20 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 31 45% 15 21 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 28% 32% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1%
13 of 31 42% 14 22 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1% <1%
12 of 31 39% 13 23 2 41 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
11 of 31 35% 12 24 2 38 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6%
10 of 31 32% 11 25 2 35 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 28% 37% 24%
9 of 31 29% 10 26 2 32 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 33% 54%
8 of 31 26% 9 27 2 29 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 17% 81%
7 of 31 23% 8 28 2 26 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
5 of 31 16% 6 30 2 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 31 0% 1 35 2 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round