The Monza What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5** UEFA Champions League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
8# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 12% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 17% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 19% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5** UEFA Champions League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
8# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 12% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 17% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 19% |
|
Best Case Scenario Monza beats Torino |
Worst Case Scenario Torino beats Monza |
|||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5** UEFA Champions League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
8# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 26 of 26 | 100% | 27 | 6 | 5 | 86 | 62% | 33% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 26 | 96% | 26 | 7 | 5 | 83 | 36% | 46% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 26 | 92% | 25 | 8 | 5 | 80 | 15% | 39% | 33% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 26 | 88% | 24 | 9 | 5 | 77 | 4% | 21% | 38% | 28% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 26 | 85% | 23 | 10 | 5 | 74 | 1% | 6% | 23% | 36% | 26% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 26 | 81% | 22 | 11 | 5 | 71 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 25% | 36% | 24% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 26 | 77% | 21 | 12 | 5 | 68 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 27% | 37% | 22% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 26 | 73% | 20 | 13 | 5 | 65 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 38% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 26 | 69% | 19 | 14 | 5 | 62 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 36% | 36% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 26 | 65% | 18 | 15 | 5 | 59 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 41% | 28% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 16 of 26 | 62% | 17 | 16 | 5 | 56 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 27% | 39% | 22% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 15 of 26 | 58% | 16 | 17 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 29% | 37% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 of 26 | 54% | 15 | 18 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 29% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 26 | 50% | 14 | 19 | 5 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 28% | 35% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 26 | 46% | 13 | 20 | 5 | 44 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 26% | 34% | 22% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 26 | 42% | 12 | 21 | 5 | 41 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 35% | 25% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| 10 of 26 | 38% | 11 | 22 | 5 | 38 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 35% | 28% | 10% | 2% |
| 9 of 26 | 35% | 10 | 23 | 5 | 35 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 35% | 31% | 14% |
| 8 of 26 | 31% | 9 | 24 | 5 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 35% | 48% |
| 7 of 26 | 27% | 8 | 25 | 5 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 83% |
| 5 of 26 | 19% | 6 | 27 | 5 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 26 | 0% | 1 | 32 | 5 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |