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Fri Aug 29 6:30 pm

Serie A - Week 2 of 40

Torino What If?

The Torino What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Torino What If?

Next Game - Fiorentina (0‑0‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 1 1 0 3 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 13%
Current Standings 0 1 0 0 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 18%
Lose Next Game 0 2 0 0 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 24%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 13%
Current Standings 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 18%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 24%
Best Case Scenario
   Torino beats Fiorentina
 Worst Case Scenario
   Fiorentina beats Torino
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
37 of 37 100% 37 1 0 111 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 37 95% 35 3 0 105 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 37 81% 30 8 0 90 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 37 68% 25 13 0 75 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 37 65% 24 14 0 72 89% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 37 62% 23 15 0 69 72% 25% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
22 of 37 59% 22 16 0 66 42% 41% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
21 of 37 57% 21 17 0 63 12% 34% 33% 16% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
20 of 37 54% 20 18 0 60 1% 7% 22% 31% 25% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 37 51% 19 19 0 57 <1% <1% 1% 7% 18% 28% 26% 14% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 37 49% 18 20 0 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 9% 21% 29% 23% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 37 46% 17 21 0 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 10% 22% 28% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 37 43% 16 22 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 12% 24% 29% 20% 8% 2%
15 of 37 41% 15 23 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 23% 31% 35%
14 of 37 38% 14 24 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 84%
10 of 37 27% 10 28 0 30 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 37 14% 5 33 0 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 37 0% 0 38 0 0 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round