The Most Important Games for the Northwestern St. Demons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Demons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northwestern St. Demons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northwestern St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (1‑3) vs Incarnate Word (3‑1) |
23 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 39% | ||
| Incarnate Word Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 41% | ||
| SE Louisiana (2‑2) vs Nicholls St. (2‑4) |
2 | SE Louisiana Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 39% | ||
| Nicholls St. Wins | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 39% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin (2‑2) vs UT-Rio Grande Valley (3‑3) |
1 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 39% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | 4% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 39% | ||
| Lamar (1‑2) vs Texas A&M C.C. (1‑3) |
1 | Lamar Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 39% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 40% | ||
| Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm (1‑5) vs Houston Christian (2‑2) |
0 | Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm Wins | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 39% | ||
| Houston Christian Wins | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 40% | ||