The UT-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how UT-Rio Grande Valley plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 20% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 16% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 18% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 19% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 20% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 21% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Standings | 18% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 19% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 22% |
|
Best Case Scenario Northwestern St. beats Incarnate Word UT-Rio Grande Valley beats Stephen F. Austin Lamar beats Texas A&M C.C. |
Worst Case Scenario Incarnate Word beats Northwestern St. Stephen F. Austin beats UT-Rio Grande Valley Texas A&M C.C. beats Lamar |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 20 of 20 | 100% | 20 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 20 | 95% | 19 | 1 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 20 | 90% | 18 | 2 | 97% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 20 | 85% | 17 | 3 | 85% | 15% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 20 | 80% | 16 | 4 | 55% | 39% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 20 | 75% | 15 | 5 | 25% | 49% | 24% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 20 | 70% | 14 | 6 | 6% | 32% | 43% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 20 | 65% | 13 | 7 | 1% | 9% | 34% | 41% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 12 of 20 | 60% | 12 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 35% | 39% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 20 | 55% | 11 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 37% | 36% | 12% | 1% | <1% |
| 10 of 20 | 50% | 10 | 10 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 38% | 35% | 10% | 1% |
| 9 of 20 | 45% | 9 | 11 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 39% | 32% | 11% |
| 8 of 20 | 40% | 8 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 40% | 41% |
| 7 of 20 | 35% | 7 | 13 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 19% | 78% |
| 6 of 20 | 30% | 6 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% |
| 5 of 20 | 25% | 5 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 4 of 20 | 20% | 4 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 3 of 20 | 15% | 3 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 2 of 20 | 10% | 2 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 1 of 20 | 5% | 1 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 20 | 0% | 0 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |