The Most Important Games for the North Dakota St. Bison are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bison final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Dakota St. Bison fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Dakota St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| North Dakota St. (9‑3) vs South Dakota (6‑6) |
1 | North Dakota St. Wins | 43% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| South Dakota Wins | 30% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| South Dakota St. (7‑5) vs Nebraska Omaha (5‑7) |
0 | South Dakota St. Wins | 40% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska Omaha Wins | 41% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Oral Roberts (5‑7) vs North Dakota (4‑9) |
0 | Oral Roberts Wins | 40% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| North Dakota Wins | 40% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UMKC (2‑9) vs Denver (5‑7) |
0 | UMKC Wins | 41% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Denver Wins | 40% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||