The Most Important Games for the Marshall Thundering Herd are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thundering Herd final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marshall Thundering Herd fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marshall Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Marshall (13‑7) vs South Alabama (14‑6) |
588 | Marshall Wins | 3% | 28% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | 1% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (5‑16) vs Old Dominion (6‑15) |
3 | LA Lafayette Wins | 2% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 2% | 21% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||