Where are the South Alabama Jaguars going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The South Alabama standings table presents the probabilities of the Jaguars winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| Troy | 8i Troy Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 14 vs Southern Miss 91-65 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Arkansas St. 99-74 Won Wed, Jan 21 @ Old Dominion 83-77 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Georgia Southern 83-78 Thu, Jan 29 vs James Madison Sat, Jan 31 vs App. St. Wed, Feb 04 @ Georgia St. Sat, Feb 07 vs Akron |
1 | 9 | 86% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Georgia St. | 6 Georgia St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Marshall 81-73 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ UL Monroe 77-57 Won Thu, Jan 22 vs Southern Miss 69-62 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Arkansas St. 82-81 Thu, Jan 29 @ LA Lafayette Sat, Jan 31 @ South Alabama Wed, Feb 04 vs Troy Sat, Feb 07 vs Northern Illinois |
3 | 9 | 2% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Appalachian St.App. St. | 6 Appalachian St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 15 vs James Madison 80-65 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Old Dominion 73-75 Won Thu, Jan 22 vs LA Lafayette 72-58 Won Fri, Jan 23 vs UL Monroe 59-43 Thu, Jan 29 @ Southern Miss Sat, Jan 31 @ Troy Wed, Feb 04 vs South Alabama Sat, Feb 07 vs Eastern Michigan |
4 | 10 | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Coastal Carolina | 6 Coastal Carolina Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 14 @ Marshall 85-83 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Georgia Southern 79-75 Won Thu, Jan 22 vs TX St. 72-70 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Southern Miss 85-67 Thu, Jan 29 @ South Alabama Sat, Jan 31 @ UL Monroe Wed, Feb 04 vs Arkansas St. Sat, Feb 07 vs UMass |
4 | 10 | 2% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Marshall | 5 Marshall Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Georgia St. 73-81 Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs Coast.Car. 83-85 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs James Madison 77-72 Won Thu, Jan 22 vs UL Monroe 115-60 Sat, Jan 24 vs South Alabama Wed, Jan 28 @ TX St. Sat, Jan 31 @ Arkansas St. Wed, Feb 04 vs Southern Miss |
3 | 8 | 2% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| South Alabama | 5 South Alabama Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Georgia Southern 87-71 Won Thu, Jan 15 vs Arkansas St. 91-87 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs LA Lafayette 56-59 Won Thu, Jan 22 @ James Madison 90-83 Sat, Jan 24 @ Marshall Thu, Jan 29 vs Coast.Car. Sat, Jan 31 vs Georgia St. Wed, Feb 04 @ App. St. |
3 | 8 | 4% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Arkansas St. | 5 Arkansas St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ South Alabama 87-91 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Troy 74-99 Won Thu, Jan 22 @ Georgia Southern 85-68 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Georgia St. 81-82 Wed, Jan 28 vs Old Dominion Sat, Jan 31 vs Marshall Wed, Feb 04 @ Coast.Car. Sat, Feb 07 vs Bowling Green |
4 | 9 | 3% | 26% | 22% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Georgia Southern | 5 Georgia Southern Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 15 vs Old Dominion 87-84 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Coast.Car. 75-79 Lost Thu, Jan 22 vs Arkansas St. 68-85 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Troy 78-83 Thu, Jan 29 @ UL Monroe Sat, Jan 31 @ LA Lafayette Wed, Feb 04 vs TX St. Wed, Feb 11 vs App. St. |
4 | 9 | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Southern Miss | 5 Southern Miss Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Troy 65-91 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ TX St. 67-74 Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ Georgia St. 62-69 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Coast.Car. 67-85 Thu, Jan 29 vs App. St. Sat, Jan 31 vs James Madison Wed, Feb 04 @ Marshall Sat, Feb 07 vs Kent State |
5 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 3% | <1% |
| Texas State | 4 Texas State Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 14 vs LA Lafayette 59-54 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Southern Miss 74-67 Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ Coast.Car. 70-72 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ James Madison 57-82 Wed, Jan 28 vs Marshall Sat, Jan 31 vs Old Dominion Wed, Feb 04 @ Georgia Southern Sat, Feb 07 vs Western Michigan |
6 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 6% | <1% |
| Old Dominion | 3 Old Dominion Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ James Madison 69-70 Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ Georgia Southern 84-87 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ App. St. 75-73 Lost Wed, Jan 21 vs Troy 77-83 Sat, Jan 24 vs LA Lafayette Wed, Jan 28 @ Arkansas St. Sat, Jan 31 @ TX St. Wed, Feb 04 vs UL Monroe |
6 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 18% | 26% | 20% | <1% |
| James Madison | 3 James Madison Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 15 @ App. St. 65-80 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Marshall 72-77 Lost Thu, Jan 22 vs South Alabama 83-90 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs TX St. 82-57 Thu, Jan 29 @ Troy Sat, Jan 31 @ Southern Miss Wed, Feb 04 vs LA Lafayette Sat, Feb 07 vs Toledo |
6 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 10% | <1% |
| LA Lafayette | 3 LA Lafayette Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Troy 70-90 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ TX St. 54-59 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ South Alabama 59-56 Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ App. St. 58-72 Sat, Jan 24 @ Old Dominion Thu, Jan 29 vs Georgia St. Sat, Jan 31 vs Georgia Southern Wed, Feb 04 @ James Madison |
6 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 22% | 58% | <1% |
| UL Monroe | 0 UL Monroe Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Southern Miss 60-70 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Georgia St. 57-77 Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ Marshall 60-115 Lost Fri, Jan 23 @ App. St. 43-59 Thu, Jan 29 vs Georgia Southern Sat, Jan 31 vs Coast.Car. Wed, Feb 04 @ Old Dominion Sat, Feb 07 vs Ball State |
9 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 97% | ||
| (14)UL Monroe | 0 | 9 | 2% |
| (13)LA Lafayette | 3 | 6 | <1% |
| (11)Old Dominion | 3 | 6 | <1% |
| (12)James Madison | 3 | 6 | <1% |
| (10)Texas State | 4 | 6 | <1% |
| (2)Georgia St. | 6 | 3 | <1% |
| (7)Arkansas St. | 5 | 4 | <1% |
| (9)Southern Miss | 5 | 5 | <1% |
| (1)Troy | 8 | 1 | <1% |
| (3)Appalachian St.App. St. | 6 | 4 | <1% |
| (4)Coastal Carolina | 6 | 4 | <1% |
| (5)Marshall | 5 | 3 | <1% |
| (8)Georgia Southern | 5 | 4 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | UL Monroe (3‑18) |
96‑92 (OT) | Away | Wed Dec 17, 7:30 pm |
| 7 | Texas State (11‑11) |
65‑67 | Away | Sat Dec 20, 3:30 pm |
| 9 | LA Lafayette (5‑16) |
63‑58 | Away | Wed Dec 31, 1:00 pm |
| 9 | Troy (15‑6) |
49‑59 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 4:30 pm |
| 10 | Georgia Southern (13‑9) |
87‑71 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 5:30 pm |
| 11 | Arkansas St. (13‑8) |
91‑87 (OT) | Home | Thu Jan 15, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | LA Lafayette (5‑16) |
56‑59 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 4:00 pm |
| 12 | James Madison (10‑11) |
90‑83 | Away | Thu Jan 22, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Marshall (13‑7) |
Away | Sat Jan 24, 4:00 pm | |
| 13 | Coastal Carolina (13‑9) |
Home | Thu Jan 29, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Georgia St. (9‑12) |
Home | Sat Jan 31, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Appalachian St.App. St. (13‑9) |
Away | Wed Feb 4, 6:30 pm | |
| 15 | Southern Miss (11‑11) |
Away | Thu Feb 12, 8:30 pm | |
| 15 | Arkansas St. (13‑8) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 3:00 pm | |
| 16 | Texas State (11‑11) |
Home | Thu Feb 19, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | Troy (15‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 4:00 pm | |
| 17 | UL Monroe (3‑18) |
Home | Wed Feb 25, 8:30 pm | |
| 17 | Southern Miss (11‑11) |
Home | Fri Feb 27, 8:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toledo (10‑9) |
MACMAC | 76‑74 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Alcorn St. (3‑14) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 76‑70 | Home | Thu Nov 6 |
| 1 | Spring Hill | ‑‑ | 99‑50 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Central Michigan (5‑14) |
MACMAC | 66‑64 | Home | Thu Nov 13 |
| 2 | Coppin St. (3‑18) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 72‑62 | Away | Sat Nov 15, 11:00 am |
| 3 | Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (10‑9) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 71‑65 | Away | Wed Nov 19, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | UAB (12‑8) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 72‑80 | Away | Fri Nov 21, 7:30 pm |
| 4 | Texas-San Antonio (4‑16) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 82‑58 | Away | Sun Nov 30, 2:00 pm |
| 5 | New Mexico St. (10‑9) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 77‑75 | Home | Tue Dec 2, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | E. Tennessee St. (15‑6) |
SouthernSouthern | 65‑91 | Away | Fri Dec 5, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | North Texas (12‑8) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 57‑58 | Home | Sun Dec 14, 5:30 pm |
| 9 | Mobile | ‑‑ | 85‑52 | Home | Mon Dec 29, 8:00 pm |
| 14 | Buffalo (13‑7) |
MACMAC | Home | Sat Feb 7, 4:00 pm |