The Most Important Games for the James Madison Dukes are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dukes final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. James Madison Dukes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
James Madison Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Division Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| James Madison (4‑1) vs UL Lafayette (2‑3) |
12 | James Madison Wins | 46% | 26% | 15% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 26% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| UL Lafayette Wins | 33% | 25% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Marshall (2‑3) vs Old Dominion (4‑1) |
4 | Marshall Wins | 47% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 26% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 43% | 25% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| LA Monroe (3‑2) vs Coastal Carolina (2‑3) |
2 | LA Monroe Wins | 44% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 26% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 42% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. (1‑4) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (3‑2) |
2 | Georgia St. Wins | 44% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 26% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 42% | 26% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||