The James Madison Dukes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how James Madison plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 2 | 46% | 39% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 4 | 2 | 39% | 40% | 14% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 3 | 13% | 48% | 24% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 52% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 39% | 40% | 14% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 33% | 47% | 14% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Ga. Southern beats Appalachian St. |
Worst Case Scenario Appalachian St. beats Ga. Southern |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 56% | 41% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 5 | 3 | 13% | 49% | 30% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 6% | 31% | 48% | 15% | <1% | ^ |