The James Madison Dukes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how James Madison plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 0 | 46% | 26% | 15% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 43% | 26% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 1 | 33% | 25% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 52% | 23% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 43% | 26% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 31% | 25% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% |
|
Best Case Scenario James Madison beats UL Lafayette Marshall beats Old Dominion LA Monroe beats Coastal Carolina |
Worst Case Scenario UL Lafayette beats James Madison Old Dominion beats Marshall Coastal Carolina beats LA Monroe |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 6 of 6 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 6 | 83% | 7 | 1 | 90% | 10% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 6 | 67% | 6 | 2 | 50% | 43% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 6 | 50% | 5 | 3 | 10% | 43% | 38% | 9% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 2 of 6 | 33% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 7% | 34% | 42% | 15% | 1% | <1% |
| 1 of 6 | 17% | 3 | 5 | X | <1% | 3% | 24% | 46% | 24% | 2% |
| 0 of 6 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 21% | 52% | 26% |