The James Madison Dukes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how James Madison plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 24% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 4% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 20% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 7 | 1 | 86% | 14% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 6 | 2 | 35% | 51% | 13% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 5 | 3 | 4% | 28% | 46% | 20% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 2% | 20% | 44% | 29% | 5% | <1% |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 42% | 36% | 6% |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 | 6 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 47% | 43% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 11% | 89% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |