The James Madison Dukes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how James Madison plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 2 | 37% | 31% | 32% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 4 | 2 | 26% | 28% | 37% | 6% | 2% | 1% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 3 | 6% | 24% | 52% | 12% | 5% | 2% | ^ |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 58% | 16% | 25% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 26% | 28% | 37% | 6% | 2% | 1% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 22% | 58% | 16% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario James Madison beats Appalachian St. Coastal Carolina beats Ga. Southern |
Worst Case Scenario Appalachian St. beats James Madison Ga. Southern beats Coastal Carolina |
||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 63% | 37% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 5 | 3 | 5% | 29% | 65% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 4 | 4 | X | X | 55% | 29% | 11% | 4% | ^ |