The Most Important Games for the Marshall Thundering Herd are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thundering Herd final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marshall Thundering Herd fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marshall Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Division Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Marshall (2‑3) vs Old Dominion (4‑1) |
5 | Marshall Wins | 6% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 29% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 32% | ||
| UL Lafayette (2‑3) vs James Madison (4‑1) |
1 | UL Lafayette Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 29% | ||
| James Madison Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 30% | ||
| LA Monroe (3‑2) vs Coastal Carolina (2‑3) |
1 | LA Monroe Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 29% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 30% | ||
| Georgia St. (1‑4) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (3‑2) |
0 | Georgia St. Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 21% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 29% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 22% | 29% | ||