The Marshall Thundering Herd What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Marshall plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 7 | 1 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 6 | 1 | 68% | 32% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 2 | 37% | 63% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 68% | 32% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Appalachian St. beats Ga. Southern Marshall beats James Madison |
Worst Case Scenario Ga. Southern beats Appalachian St. James Madison beats Marshall |
||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 1 of 1 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 1 | 0% | 6 | 2 | 36% | 64% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |