The Marshall Thundering Herd What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Marshall plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 1 | 6% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 21% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 1 | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 29% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 2 | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 32% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 6% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 21% |
| Current Standings | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 29% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 32% |
|
Best Case Scenario Marshall beats Old Dominion |
Worst Case Scenario Old Dominion beats Marshall |
||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 6 | 2 | 51% | 44% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 5 | 3 | 8% | 42% | 40% | 10% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 4% | 30% | 45% | 19% | 2% | <1% |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 3 | 5 | X | <1% | 2% | 17% | 45% | 32% | 4% |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 2 | 6 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 11% | 46% | 42% |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 12% | 87% |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |