The Troy Trojans What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Troy plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 0 | 25% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 0 | 19% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 4% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 1 | 12% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 6% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 25% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 19% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 4% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 12% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 6% |
|
Best Case Scenario Troy beats Texas St. |
Worst Case Scenario Texas St. beats Troy |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 7 | 1 | 88% | 12% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 6 | 2 | 40% | 49% | 10% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 5 | 3 | 5% | 35% | 43% | 15% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 4% | 24% | 43% | 25% | 4% | <1% |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 3 | 5 | X | <1% | 1% | 14% | 42% | 37% | 5% |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 2 | 6 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 12% | 55% | 33% |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 33% | 66% |