The Troy Trojans What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Troy plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 2 | 6% | 13% | 19% | 25% | 23% | 11% | 2% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 2 | 3% | 8% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 18% | 10% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 3 | <1% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 24% | 21% | 13% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 6% | 13% | 19% | 25% | 23% | 11% | 2% |
| Current Standings | 3% | 8% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 18% | 10% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 24% | 21% | 13% |
|
Best Case Scenario Troy beats Louisiana Tech |
Worst Case Scenario Louisiana Tech beats Troy |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 48% | 38% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 5 | 3 | 5% | 34% | 47% | 13% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 3% | 22% | 47% | 25% | 3% | <1% |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 3 | 5 | X | <1% | <1% | 12% | 46% | 34% | 7% |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | 13% | 40% | 48% |