Are the Troy Trojans going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Troy playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Trojans will win the division and play in the Conference Championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Southern Miss | 2i Southern Miss Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 13 vs App. St. 38-22 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Louisiana Tech 20-30 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Jacksonville St. 42-25 Won Thu, Oct 09 @ Ga. Southern 38-35 Sat, Oct 18 @ UL Lafayette Sat, Oct 25 vs LA Monroe Sat, Nov 08 @ Arkansas St. Sat, Nov 15 vs Texas St. |
0 | 2 | 37% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| LA Monroe | 1 LA Monroe Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Alabama 0-73 Won Sat, Sep 20 @ UTEP 31-25 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Arkansas St. 28-16 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ N. Western 7-42 Sat, Oct 11 @ C. Carolina Sat, Oct 18 vs Troy Sat, Oct 25 @ Southern Miss Sat, Nov 01 vs Old Dominion |
0 | 1 | 21% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 6% |
| Troy | 1 Troy Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Clemson 16-27 Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Memphis 7-28 Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Buffalo 21-17 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs South Alabama 31-24 Sat, Oct 11 @ Texas St. Sat, Oct 18 @ LA Monroe Sat, Oct 25 vs UL Lafayette Sat, Nov 01 vs Arkansas St. |
0 | 1 | 19% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 4% |
| UL Lafayette | 1 UL Lafayette Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 06 vs McNeese 34-10 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Missouri 10-52 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ E. Michigan 31-34 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Marshall 54-51 Sat, Oct 11 @ James Madison Sat, Oct 18 vs Southern Miss Sat, Oct 25 @ Troy Sat, Nov 01 @ South Alabama |
0 | 1 | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 19% |
| Arkansas St. | 1 Arkansas St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 13 vs Iowa St. 16-24 Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Kennesaw St. 21-28 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ LA Monroe 16-28 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Texas St. 31-30 Tue, Oct 14 @ South Alabama Sat, Oct 25 vs Ga. Southern Sat, Nov 01 @ Troy Sat, Nov 08 vs Southern Miss |
1 | 2 | 6% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 14% |
| Texas St. | 0 Texas St. Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 06 @ UTSA 43-36 Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Arizona St. 15-34 Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Nicholls 35-3 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Arkansas St. 30-31 Sat, Oct 11 vs Troy Sat, Oct 18 @ Marshall Tue, Oct 28 vs James Madison Sat, Nov 08 @ UL Lafayette |
1 | 1 | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 15% |
| South Alabama | 0 South Alabama Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 13 @ Auburn 15-31 Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs C. Carolina 20-38 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ North Texas 22-36 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Troy 24-31 Tue, Oct 14 vs Arkansas St. Thu, Oct 23 @ Georgia St. Sat, Nov 01 vs UL Lafayette Sat, Nov 15 @ LA Monroe |
2 | 2 | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 40% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)James Madison | 2 | 0 | 9% |
| (2)Old Dominion | 1 | 0 | 6% |
| (4)Appalachian St.App. St. | 0 | 1 | 2% |
| (3)Coastal Carolina | 1 | 1 | 1% |
| (6)Marshall | 0 | 1 | 1% |
| (7)Ga. Southern | 0 | 2 | <1% |
| (5)Georgia St. | 0 | 1 | <1% |
| Elimination | 81% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | South Alabama (1‑5) |
31‑24 (OT) | Home | Sat Oct 4, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Texas St. (3‑2) |
Away | Sat Oct 11, 8:00 pm | |
| 8 | LA Monroe (3‑2) |
Away | Sat Oct 18, 3:00 pm | |
| 9 | UL Lafayette (2‑3) |
Home | Sat Oct 25, TBD | |
| 10 | Arkansas St. (2‑4) |
Home | Sat Nov 1, TBD | |
| 12 | Old Dominion (4‑1) |
Away | Thu Nov 13, 7:30 pm | |
| 13 | Georgia St. (1‑4) |
Home | Sat Nov 22, TBD | |
| 14 | Southern Miss (4‑2) |
Away | Sat Nov 29, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicholls | ‑‑ | 38‑20 | Home | Sat Aug 30, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Clemson (2‑3) |
ACCACC | 16‑27 | Away | Sat Sep 6, 3:30 pm |
| 3 | Memphis (6‑0) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 7‑28 | Home | Sat Sep 13, 12:00 pm |
| 4 | Buffalo (3‑3) |
MACMAC | 21‑17 | Away | Sat Sep 20, 3:30 pm |