PlayoffStatus.com↓≡

Home ►WNBA►WNBA Playoff Picture►Aces Playoff Picture►Aces What If?
Thu May 21 1:00 am

WNBA - Week 3 of 21

Aces What If?

The Aces What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Aces play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Aces What If?

Next Game - Sparks (1‑3)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 5 1 16% 11% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 29%
Current Standings 4 1 16% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 31%
Lose Next Game 4 2 12% 10% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 32%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 15% 11% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 30%
Current Standings 16% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 31%
Worst Case Scenario 15% 11% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 31%
Best Case Scenario
   Sparks beats Mercury
 Worst Case Scenario
   Mercury beats Sparks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
39 of 39 100% 43 1 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 39 90% 39 5 99% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
33 of 39 85% 37 7 91% 9% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
32 of 39 82% 36 8 80% 19% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
31 of 39 79% 35 9 64% 32% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
30 of 39 77% 34 10 45% 44% 11% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
29 of 39 74% 33 11 26% 46% 24% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
28 of 39 72% 32 12 13% 39% 36% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
27 of 39 69% 31 13 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^
26 of 39 67% 30 14 2% 13% 36% 35% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1%
25 of 39 64% 29 15 <1% 5% 23% 39% 26% 6% <1% <1% <1%
24 of 39 62% 28 16 <1% 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2% <1% <1%
23 of 39 59% 27 17 <1% <1% 4% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% <1%
22 of 39 56% 26 18 <1% <1% 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 3% <1%
21 of 39 54% 25 19 <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 36% 31% 10% 1%
20 of 39 51% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 26% 39% 21% 5%
19 of 39 49% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 15% 35% 33% 15%
18 of 39 46% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 25% 38% 30%
17 of 39 44% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 33% 51%
16 of 39 41% 20 24 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 23% 72%
15 of 39 38% 19 25 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 87%
10 of 39 26% 14 30 X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
5 of 39 13% 9 35 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 39 0% 4 40 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs