The Aces What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Aces play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 24 | 11 | 13% | 42% | 34% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 23 | 11 | 10% | 36% | 35% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 23 | 12 | 5% | 28% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 13% | 42% | 34% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 10% | 36% | 35% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 5% | 28% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Aces beats Mystics |
Worst Case Scenario Mystics beats Aces |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 10 of 10 | 100% | 33 | 11 | 58% | 40% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 10 | 90% | 32 | 12 | 25% | 62% | 14% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 10 | 80% | 31 | 13 | 6% | 53% | 40% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 10 | 70% | 30 | 14 | 1% | 28% | 60% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 10 | 60% | 29 | 15 | <1% | 8% | 48% | 36% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 5 of 10 | 50% | 28 | 16 | <1% | 1% | 17% | 39% | 31% | 10% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 4 of 10 | 40% | 27 | 17 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 32% | 34% | 15% | 2% | ^ |
| 3 of 10 | 30% | 26 | 18 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 31% | 40% | 17% | ^ |
| 2 of 10 | 20% | 25 | 19 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 39% | 50% | <1% |
| 1 of 10 | 10% | 24 | 20 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 19% | 80% | <1% |
| 0 of 10 | 0% | 23 | 21 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 95% | <1% |