PlayoffStatus.com↓≡

Home ►WNBA►WNBA Playoff Picture►Fever Playoff Picture►Fever What If?
Sun Jun 28 10:00 pm

WNBA - Week 9 of 21

Fever What If?

The Fever What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Fever play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Fever What If?

Next Game - Aces (14‑5)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 12 8 2% 4% 7% 11% 13% 14% 14% 12% 23%
Current Standings 11 8 1% 3% 6% 9% 12% 14% 14% 13% 28%
Lose Next Game 11 9 1% 2% 5% 8% 11% 14% 15% 14% 29%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 1% 3% 6% 10% 12% 14% 14% 13% 28%
Current Standings 1% 3% 6% 9% 12% 14% 14% 13% 28%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 3% 6% 9% 12% 13% 15% 13% 29%
Best Case Scenario
   Sun beats Wings
 Worst Case Scenario
   Wings beats Sun
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
25 of 25 100% 36 8 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 25 92% 34 10 86% 14% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 25 88% 33 11 68% 30% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
21 of 25 84% 32 12 45% 45% 10% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 25 80% 31 13 23% 48% 25% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 25 76% 30 14 9% 36% 38% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 25 72% 29 15 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1% <1% <1% ^
17 of 25 68% 28 16 <1% 7% 27% 38% 23% 5% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 25 64% 27 17 <1% 2% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2% <1% <1%
15 of 25 60% 26 18 <1% <1% 3% 18% 37% 32% 9% 1% <1%
14 of 25 56% 25 19 <1% <1% <1% 6% 24% 41% 25% 4% <1%
13 of 25 52% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 2%
12 of 25 48% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 38% 34% 10%
11 of 25 44% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 24% 41% 30%
10 of 25 40% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 32% 57%
9 of 25 36% 20 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 17% 81%
8 of 25 32% 19 25 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 6% 94%
5 of 25 20% 16 28 X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 25 0% 11 33 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs