The Fever What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Fever play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 22 | 12 | <1% | 2% | 9% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 14% | 9% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 21 | 12 | <1% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 18% | 15% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 21 | 13 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 23% | 22% | <1% |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 9% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 14% | 9% | <1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 18% | 15% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 23% | 22% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Fever beats Wings |
Worst Case Scenario Wings beats Fever |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 11 of 11 | 100% | 32 | 12 | 24% | 57% | 18% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 11 | 91% | 31 | 13 | 4% | 35% | 48% | 13% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 11 | 82% | 30 | 14 | <1% | 9% | 45% | 43% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 11 | 73% | 29 | 15 | <1% | 1% | 19% | 60% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 7 of 11 | 64% | 28 | 16 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 38% | 42% | 15% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| 6 of 11 | 55% | 27 | 17 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 34% | 38% | 15% | 2% | ^ |
| 5 of 11 | 45% | 26 | 18 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 34% | 40% | 15% | ^ |
| 4 of 11 | 36% | 25 | 19 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 41% | 46% | <1% |
| 3 of 11 | 27% | 24 | 20 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 22% | 76% | <1% |
| 2 of 11 | 18% | 23 | 21 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 93% | <1% |
| 1 of 11 | 9% | 22 | 22 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | <1% |
| 0 of 11 | 0% | 21 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 98% | 2% |