The Fire What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Fire play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 81% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 83% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 84% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 85% |
|
Best Case Scenario Dream beats Mystics |
Worst Case Scenario Mystics beats Dream |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 24 of 24 | 100% | 32 | 12 | 51% | 43% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 24 | 96% | 31 | 13 | 30% | 52% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 24 | 92% | 30 | 14 | 14% | 45% | 34% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 24 | 88% | 29 | 15 | 4% | 27% | 45% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 20 of 24 | 83% | 28 | 16 | 1% | 11% | 35% | 37% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 19 of 24 | 79% | 27 | 17 | <1% | 3% | 19% | 37% | 31% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 18 of 24 | 75% | 26 | 18 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 24% | 37% | 25% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| 17 of 24 | 71% | 25 | 19 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 26% | 38% | 22% | 5% | <1% |
| 16 of 24 | 67% | 24 | 20 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 31% | 35% | 18% | 3% |
| 15 of 24 | 63% | 23 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 34% | 34% | 16% |
| 14 of 24 | 58% | 22 | 22 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 37% | 41% |
| 13 of 24 | 54% | 21 | 23 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 71% |
| 12 of 24 | 50% | 20 | 24 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| 10 of 24 | 42% | 18 | 26 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 5 of 24 | 21% | 13 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 24 | 0% | 8 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |