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Sun Jun 28 10:00 pm

WNBA - Week 9 of 21

Liberty What If?

The Liberty What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Liberty play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Liberty What If?

Next Game - Lynx (15‑4)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 13 8 2% 6% 10% 13% 15% 15% 13% 10% 14%
Current Standings 12 8 2% 5% 9% 12% 14% 14% 14% 12% 19%
Lose Next Game 12 9 1% 4% 7% 11% 14% 15% 14% 12% 21%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 2% 6% 10% 13% 15% 15% 13% 10% 14%
Current Standings 2% 5% 9% 12% 14% 14% 14% 12% 19%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 4% 7% 11% 14% 15% 14% 12% 21%
Best Case Scenario
   Liberty beats Lynx
 Worst Case Scenario
   Lynx beats Liberty
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
24 of 24 100% 36 8 99% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 24 96% 35 9 95% 5% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 24 92% 34 10 83% 16% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 24 88% 33 11 64% 33% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 24 83% 32 12 41% 46% 12% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
19 of 24 79% 31 13 22% 45% 28% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
18 of 24 75% 30 14 9% 35% 38% 16% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^
17 of 24 71% 29 15 3% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 24 67% 28 16 <1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 5% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 24 63% 27 17 <1% 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1% <1% <1%
14 of 24 58% 26 18 <1% <1% 4% 19% 39% 30% 7% <1% <1%
13 of 24 54% 25 19 <1% <1% 1% 7% 28% 41% 21% 4% <1%
12 of 24 50% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 35% 37% 14% 2%
11 of 24 46% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 19% 38% 30% 9%
10 of 24 42% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 26% 39% 28%
9 of 24 38% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 32% 56%
8 of 24 33% 20 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 80%
7 of 24 29% 19 25 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
5 of 24 21% 17 27 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 24 0% 12 32 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs