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Tue Jun 9 1:00 am

WNBA - Week 6 of 21

Liberty What If?

The Liberty What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Liberty play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Liberty What If?

Next Game - Dream (7‑3)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 9 4 8% 11% 12% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 24%
Current Standings 8 4 7% 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 27%
Lose Next Game 8 5 5% 8% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 9% 28%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 7% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 8% 27%
Current Standings 7% 10% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 27%
Worst Case Scenario 7% 10% 11% 10% 10% 8% 9% 8% 27%
Best Case Scenario
   Sun beats Tempo
 Worst Case Scenario
   Tempo beats Sun
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
32 of 32 100% 40 4 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 32 94% 38 6 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 32 88% 36 8 93% 7% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 32 84% 35 9 84% 15% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 32 81% 34 10 69% 28% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
25 of 32 78% 33 11 51% 40% 8% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
24 of 32 75% 32 12 34% 46% 18% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
23 of 32 72% 31 13 19% 44% 30% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
22 of 32 69% 30 14 8% 35% 39% 16% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^
21 of 32 66% 29 15 3% 20% 41% 28% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 32 63% 28 16 1% 9% 30% 38% 18% 3% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 32 59% 27 17 <1% 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% <1% <1%
18 of 32 56% 26 18 <1% <1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1% <1%
17 of 32 53% 25 19 <1% <1% 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% <1%
16 of 32 50% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
15 of 32 47% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 35% 29% 13%
14 of 32 44% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 24% 35% 34%
13 of 32 41% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 28% 61%
12 of 32 38% 20 24 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 84%
11 of 32 34% 19 25 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 95%
10 of 32 31% 18 26 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
5 of 32 16% 13 31 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 32 0% 8 36 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs