The Liberty What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Liberty play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 21 | 14 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 24% | 28% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 20 | 14 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 25% | 32% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 20 | 15 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 25% | 45% | <1% |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 24% | 28% | <1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 25% | 32% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 25% | 45% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Liberty beats Sparks |
Worst Case Scenario Sparks beats Liberty |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 10 of 10 | 100% | 30 | 14 | <1% | 11% | 47% | 40% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 10 | 90% | 29 | 15 | <1% | 2% | 20% | 59% | 17% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 8 of 10 | 80% | 28 | 16 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 35% | 43% | 16% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| 7 of 10 | 70% | 27 | 17 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 33% | 36% | 19% | 3% | ^ |
| 6 of 10 | 60% | 26 | 18 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 30% | 41% | 19% | ^ |
| 5 of 10 | 50% | 25 | 19 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 40% | 48% | <1% |
| 4 of 10 | 40% | 24 | 20 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 22% | 76% | <1% |
| 3 of 10 | 30% | 23 | 21 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 91% | <1% |
| 2 of 10 | 20% | 22 | 22 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 95% | 3% |
| 1 of 10 | 10% | 21 | 23 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 89% | 11% |
| 0 of 10 | 0% | 20 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 71% | 29% |