PlayoffStatus.com

Thu May 21 1:00 am

WNBA - Week 3 of 21

Liberty What If?

The Liberty What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Liberty play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Liberty What If?

Next Game - Valkyries (2‑1)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 4 1 14% 10% 8% 8% 6% 7% 7% 7% 33%
Current Standings 3 1 13% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 35%
Lose Next Game 3 2 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 36%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 14% 10% 8% 8% 6% 7% 7% 7% 33%
Current Standings 13% 10% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 35%
Worst Case Scenario 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 36%
Best Case Scenario
   Liberty beats Valkyries
Worst Case Scenario
   Valkyries beats Liberty
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
40 of 40 100% 43 1 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 40 88% 38 6 97% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
34 of 40 85% 37 7 92% 8% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
33 of 40 83% 36 8 81% 18% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
32 of 40 80% 35 9 66% 30% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
31 of 40 78% 34 10 46% 43% 11% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
30 of 40 75% 33 11 27% 46% 23% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
29 of 40 73% 32 12 13% 39% 36% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
28 of 40 70% 31 13 5% 26% 40% 24% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
27 of 40 68% 30 14 2% 13% 34% 36% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1%
26 of 40 65% 29 15 <1% 5% 23% 39% 26% 6% 1% <1% <1%
25 of 40 63% 28 16 <1% 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2% <1% <1%
24 of 40 60% 27 17 <1% <1% 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1% <1%
23 of 40 58% 26 18 <1% <1% 1% 10% 28% 38% 19% 4% <1%
22 of 40 55% 25 19 <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
21 of 40 53% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 26% 38% 21% 5%
20 of 40 50% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 36% 32% 15%
19 of 40 48% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 24% 38% 31%
18 of 40 45% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 33% 51%
17 of 40 43% 20 24 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 73%
16 of 40 40% 19 25 X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 88%
15 of 40 38% 18 26 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
10 of 40 25% 13 31 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
5 of 40 13% 8 36 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 40 0% 3 41 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs