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Tue Jun 9 1:00 am

WNBA - Week 6 of 21

Lynx What If?

The Lynx What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Lynx play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Lynx What If?

Next Game - Wings (7‑3)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 10 2 33% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 3% 4%
Current Standings 9 2 31% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 6%
Lose Next Game 9 3 26% 18% 14% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 6%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 33% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 3% 4%
Current Standings 31% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 6%
Worst Case Scenario 26% 18% 14% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Best Case Scenario
   Lynx beats Wings
 Worst Case Scenario
   Wings beats Lynx
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
33 of 33 100% 42 2 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 33 91% 39 5 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 33 82% 36 8 94% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 33 79% 35 9 87% 13% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 33 76% 34 10 74% 24% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
24 of 33 73% 33 11 59% 35% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
23 of 33 70% 32 12 41% 44% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
22 of 33 67% 31 13 24% 47% 24% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
21 of 33 64% 30 14 13% 39% 35% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
20 of 33 61% 29 15 5% 26% 40% 24% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 33 58% 28 16 1% 12% 33% 35% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 33 55% 27 17 <1% 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% <1% <1%
17 of 33 52% 26 18 <1% 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1% <1%
16 of 33 48% 25 19 <1% <1% 2% 11% 31% 34% 18% 4% <1%
15 of 33 45% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3%
14 of 33 42% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 34% 29% 13%
13 of 33 39% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 35% 35%
12 of 33 36% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 26% 63%
11 of 33 33% 20 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 86%
10 of 33 30% 19 25 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 96%
5 of 33 15% 14 30 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 33 0% 9 35 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs