The Lynx What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Lynx play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 16 | 4 | 53% | 25% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 15 | 4 | 50% | 24% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 15 | 5 | 44% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 53% | 25% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 50% | 24% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 44% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Lynx beats Liberty |
Worst Case Scenario Liberty beats Lynx |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 25 of 25 | 100% | 40 | 4 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 25 | 80% | 35 | 9 | 93% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 25 | 76% | 34 | 10 | 84% | 16% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 25 | 72% | 33 | 11 | 71% | 27% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 25 | 68% | 32 | 12 | 52% | 42% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 25 | 64% | 31 | 13 | 33% | 49% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 25 | 60% | 30 | 14 | 17% | 45% | 31% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 14 of 25 | 56% | 29 | 15 | 6% | 30% | 40% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 13 of 25 | 52% | 28 | 16 | 2% | 15% | 35% | 34% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 25 | 48% | 27 | 17 | <1% | 4% | 20% | 38% | 28% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 25 | 44% | 26 | 18 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 25% | 38% | 23% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| 10 of 25 | 40% | 25 | 19 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 29% | 37% | 19% | 3% | <1% |
| 9 of 25 | 36% | 24 | 20 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 34% | 34% | 14% | 2% |
| 8 of 25 | 32% | 23 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 35% | 32% | 13% |
| 7 of 25 | 28% | 22 | 22 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 38% | 37% |
| 6 of 25 | 24% | 21 | 23 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 26% | 67% |
| 5 of 25 | 20% | 20 | 24 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 88% |
| 0 of 25 | 0% | 15 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |