PlayoffStatus.com

Wed Aug 12 11:00 pm

WNBA - Week 15 of 21

Lynx What If?

The Lynx What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Lynx play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Lynx What If?

Next Game - Fire (13‑19)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 28 7 73% 19% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Standings 27 7 69% 20% 9% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Lose Next Game 27 8 58% 25% 13% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 73% 19% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Standings 69% 20% 9% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Worst Case Scenario 58% 25% 13% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Best Case Scenario
   Lynx beats Fire
Worst Case Scenario
   Fire beats Lynx
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
10 of 10 100% 37 7 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 10 90% 36 8 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 10 80% 35 9 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 10 70% 34 10 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 10 60% 33 11 85% 14% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 10 50% 32 12 53% 41% 6% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 10 40% 31 13 19% 51% 29% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
3 of 10 30% 30 14 3% 26% 53% 16% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
2 of 10 20% 29 15 <1% 5% 34% 44% 15% 1% <1% <1% ^
1 of 10 10% 28 16 <1% <1% 7% 30% 40% 19% 3% <1% ^
0 of 10 0% 27 17 <1% <1% <1% 5% 25% 38% 25% 6% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs