The Mercury What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mercury play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 26 | 14 | X | 16% | 31% | 51% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 25 | 14 | X | 13% | 27% | 57% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 25 | 15 | X | 2% | 15% | 77% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | 16% | 31% | 51% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | 13% | 27% | 57% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | 2% | 15% | 77% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Mercury beats Fever |
Worst Case Scenario Fever beats Mercury |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 30 | 14 | X | 46% | 44% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 29 | 15 | X | 7% | 38% | 56% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 28 | 16 | X | <1% | 8% | 92% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 27 | 17 | X | <1% | 1% | 86% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 26 | 18 | X | X | <1% | 52% | 48% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 25 | 19 | X | X | X | 11% | 70% | 19% | <1% | ^ | ^ |