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Sun Jun 28 10:00 pm

WNBA - Week 9 of 21

Mystics What If?

The Mystics What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mystics play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mystics What If?

Next Game - Dream (12‑7)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 10 9 <1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 12% 13% 14% 38%
Current Standings 9 9 <1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 11% 13% 14% 43%
Lose Next Game 9 10 <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 11% 13% 15% 46%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario <1% 2% 4% 7% 9% 12% 13% 14% 38%
Current Standings <1% 2% 3% 6% 9% 11% 13% 14% 43%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 11% 13% 15% 46%
Best Case Scenario
   Mystics beats Dream
 Worst Case Scenario
   Dream beats Mystics
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
26 of 26 100% 35 9 87% 13% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 26 96% 34 10 75% 24% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 26 92% 33 11 58% 39% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 26 88% 32 12 40% 50% 10% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
22 of 26 85% 31 13 21% 51% 24% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
21 of 26 81% 30 14 8% 39% 38% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
20 of 26 77% 29 15 2% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1% <1% <1% ^
19 of 26 73% 28 16 <1% 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 26 69% 27 17 <1% 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 2% <1% <1%
17 of 26 65% 26 18 <1% <1% 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1% <1%
16 of 26 62% 25 19 <1% <1% 1% 5% 23% 39% 26% 5% <1%
15 of 26 58% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 30% 39% 18% 2%
14 of 26 54% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 15% 38% 35% 11%
13 of 26 50% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 22% 40% 34%
12 of 26 46% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 30% 62%
11 of 26 42% 20 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 14% 84%
10 of 26 38% 19 25 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
5 of 26 19% 14 30 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 26 0% 9 35 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs