PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Jun 9 1:00 am

WNBA - Week 6 of 21

Mystics What If?

The Mystics What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mystics play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mystics What If?

Next Game - Tempo (6‑5)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 5 6 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 60%
Current Standings 4 6 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 62%
Lose Next Game 4 7 <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 7% 7% 8% 65%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario <1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 61%
Current Standings 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 62%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 62%
Best Case Scenario
   Wings beats Lynx
Worst Case Scenario
   Lynx beats Wings
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
34 of 34 100% 38 6 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
32 of 34 94% 36 8 94% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
31 of 34 91% 35 9 85% 14% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 34 88% 34 10 71% 27% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 34 85% 33 11 54% 37% 8% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
28 of 34 82% 32 12 35% 46% 17% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
27 of 34 79% 31 13 20% 43% 29% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
26 of 34 76% 30 14 10% 33% 39% 16% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^
25 of 34 74% 29 15 4% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
24 of 34 71% 28 16 1% 9% 30% 37% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1%
23 of 34 68% 27 17 <1% 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 2% <1% <1%
22 of 34 65% 26 18 <1% 1% 6% 24% 36% 26% 7% 1% <1%
21 of 34 62% 25 19 <1% <1% 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 5% <1%
20 of 34 59% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 33% 32% 16% 3%
19 of 34 56% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 34% 30% 13%
18 of 34 53% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 23% 35% 35%
17 of 34 50% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 27% 63%
16 of 34 47% 20 24 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
15 of 34 44% 19 25 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 96%
10 of 34 29% 14 30 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
5 of 34 15% 9 35 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 34 0% 4 40 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs