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Tue Jun 9 1:00 am

WNBA - Week 6 of 21

Sky What If?

The Sky What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sky play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sky What If?

Next Game - Dream (7‑3)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 5 7 <1% 1% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 62%
Current Standings 4 7 <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 65%
Lose Next Game 4 8 <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 7% 8% 67%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario <1% 1% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 62%
Current Standings <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 65%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 7% 8% 67%
Best Case Scenario
   Sky beats Dream
 Worst Case Scenario
   Dream beats Sky
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
33 of 33 100% 37 7 88% 12% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
32 of 33 97% 36 8 81% 19% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
31 of 33 94% 35 9 72% 27% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 33 91% 34 10 60% 36% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
29 of 33 88% 33 11 45% 45% 10% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
28 of 33 85% 32 12 30% 49% 19% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
27 of 33 82% 31 13 18% 46% 29% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
26 of 33 79% 30 14 8% 34% 40% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^
25 of 33 76% 29 15 3% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
24 of 33 73% 28 16 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1%
23 of 33 70% 27 17 <1% 3% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% <1% <1%
22 of 33 67% 26 18 <1% 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% <1%
21 of 33 64% 25 19 <1% <1% 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% <1%
20 of 33 61% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 33% 33% 15% 3%
19 of 33 58% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 33% 31% 14%
18 of 33 55% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 36% 35%
17 of 33 52% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 27% 63%
16 of 33 48% 20 24 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 86%
15 of 33 45% 19 25 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 96%
10 of 33 30% 14 30 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
5 of 33 15% 9 35 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 33 0% 4 40 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs