The Sparks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sparks play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 58% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 60% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 66% |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 59% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 60% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 61% |
|
Best Case Scenario Lynx beats Liberty |
Worst Case Scenario Liberty beats Lynx |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 26 of 26 | 100% | 34 | 10 | 77% | 23% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 26 | 96% | 33 | 11 | 59% | 37% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 26 | 92% | 32 | 12 | 38% | 48% | 13% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 26 | 88% | 31 | 13 | 21% | 50% | 26% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 26 | 85% | 30 | 14 | 9% | 39% | 40% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 21 of 26 | 81% | 29 | 15 | 3% | 21% | 43% | 27% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 20 of 26 | 77% | 28 | 16 | <1% | 7% | 31% | 38% | 19% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 19 of 26 | 73% | 27 | 17 | <1% | 2% | 14% | 35% | 34% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 18 of 26 | 69% | 26 | 18 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 38% | 30% | 9% | 1% | <1% |
| 17 of 26 | 65% | 25 | 19 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 39% | 25% | 6% | 1% |
| 16 of 26 | 62% | 24 | 20 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 30% | 38% | 19% | 3% |
| 15 of 26 | 58% | 23 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 35% | 35% | 15% |
| 14 of 26 | 54% | 22 | 22 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 38% | 38% |
| 13 of 26 | 50% | 21 | 23 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 27% | 66% |
| 12 of 26 | 46% | 20 | 24 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 86% |
| 10 of 26 | 38% | 18 | 26 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 5 of 26 | 19% | 13 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 26 | 0% | 8 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |