The Sparks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sparks play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 3 | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 58% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 3 | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 4 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 63% |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 58% |
| Current Standings | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 61% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 63% |
|
Best Case Scenario Sparks beats Mercury |
Worst Case Scenario Mercury beats Sparks |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 40 of 40 | 100% | 41 | 3 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 36 of 40 | 90% | 37 | 7 | 92% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 35 of 40 | 88% | 36 | 8 | 81% | 19% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 34 of 40 | 85% | 35 | 9 | 64% | 32% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 33 of 40 | 83% | 34 | 10 | 45% | 43% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 32 of 40 | 80% | 33 | 11 | 26% | 47% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 31 of 40 | 78% | 32 | 12 | 13% | 38% | 36% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 30 of 40 | 75% | 31 | 13 | 5% | 25% | 41% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 29 of 40 | 73% | 30 | 14 | 2% | 12% | 35% | 36% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 28 of 40 | 70% | 29 | 15 | <1% | 5% | 23% | 40% | 26% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 27 of 40 | 68% | 28 | 16 | <1% | 2% | 12% | 32% | 36% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 26 of 40 | 65% | 27 | 17 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 21% | 38% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| 25 of 40 | 63% | 26 | 18 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 29% | 37% | 19% | 3% | <1% |
| 24 of 40 | 60% | 25 | 19 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 37% | 31% | 10% | 1% |
| 23 of 40 | 58% | 24 | 20 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 27% | 38% | 21% | 5% |
| 22 of 40 | 55% | 23 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 34% | 33% | 14% |
| 21 of 40 | 53% | 22 | 22 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 25% | 38% | 30% |
| 20 of 40 | 50% | 21 | 23 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 33% | 52% |
| 19 of 40 | 48% | 20 | 24 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 22% | 72% |
| 18 of 40 | 45% | 19 | 25 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 87% |
| 15 of 40 | 38% | 16 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 10 of 40 | 25% | 11 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 5 of 40 | 13% | 6 | 38 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 40 | 0% | 1 | 43 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |