PlayoffStatus.com

Thu May 21 1:00 am

WNBA - Week 3 of 21

Sparks What If?

The Sparks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sparks play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sparks What If?

Next Game - Mercury (2‑3)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 2 3 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 6% 7% 58%
Current Standings 1 3 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 61%
Lose Next Game 1 4 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 63%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 6% 7% 58%
Current Standings 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 61%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 6% 7% 7% 63%
Best Case Scenario
   Sparks beats Mercury
Worst Case Scenario
   Mercury beats Sparks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
40 of 40 100% 41 3 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
36 of 40 90% 37 7 92% 8% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 40 88% 36 8 81% 19% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
34 of 40 85% 35 9 64% 32% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
33 of 40 83% 34 10 45% 43% 11% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
32 of 40 80% 33 11 26% 47% 24% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
31 of 40 78% 32 12 13% 38% 36% 11% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
30 of 40 75% 31 13 5% 25% 41% 24% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
29 of 40 73% 30 14 2% 12% 35% 36% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1%
28 of 40 70% 29 15 <1% 5% 23% 40% 26% 6% 1% <1% <1%
27 of 40 68% 28 16 <1% 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3% <1% <1%
26 of 40 65% 27 17 <1% <1% 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% <1%
25 of 40 63% 26 18 <1% <1% 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3% <1%
24 of 40 60% 25 19 <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
23 of 40 58% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 5%
22 of 40 55% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 34% 33% 14%
21 of 40 53% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 25% 38% 30%
20 of 40 50% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 33% 52%
19 of 40 48% 20 24 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 72%
18 of 40 45% 19 25 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 87%
15 of 40 38% 16 28 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 40 25% 11 33 X X X X X X X X 100%
5 of 40 13% 6 38 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 40 0% 1 43 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs