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Sun Jun 28 10:00 pm

WNBA - Week 9 of 21

Sun What If?

The Sun What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sun play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sun What If?

Next Game - Wings (11‑8)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 5 15 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 4 15 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Lose Next Game 4 16 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Best Case Scenario
None 		Worst Case Scenario
None
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
25 of 25 100% 29 15 7% 34% 42% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^
24 of 25 96% 28 16 2% 17% 40% 32% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
23 of 25 92% 27 17 <1% 5% 26% 40% 23% 6% <1% <1% <1%
22 of 25 88% 26 18 <1% 1% 9% 31% 37% 18% 3% <1% <1%
21 of 25 84% 25 19 <1% <1% 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2% <1%
20 of 25 80% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 36% 31% 10% 1%
19 of 25 76% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 9%
18 of 25 72% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 25% 38% 30%
17 of 25 68% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 29% 62%
16 of 25 64% 20 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 87%
15 of 25 60% 19 25 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
10 of 25 40% 14 30 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
5 of 25 20% 9 35 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 25 0% 4 40 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs