PlayoffStatus.com↓≡

Home ►WNBA►WNBA Playoff Picture►Sun Playoff Picture►Sun What If?
Thu May 21 1:00 am

WNBA - Week 3 of 21

Sun What If?

The Sun What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sun play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sun What If?

Next Game - Storm (1‑4)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 2 5 <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 66%
Current Standings 1 5 <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 68%
Lose Next Game 1 6 <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 70%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 66%
Current Standings <1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 68%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 70%
Best Case Scenario
   Sun beats Storm
 Worst Case Scenario
   Storm beats Sun
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
38 of 38 100% 39 5 97% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
37 of 38 97% 38 6 94% 6% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
36 of 38 95% 37 7 87% 12% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 38 92% 36 8 76% 22% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
34 of 38 89% 35 9 62% 34% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
33 of 38 87% 34 10 45% 44% 11% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
32 of 38 84% 33 11 27% 46% 23% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
31 of 38 82% 32 12 13% 40% 36% 10% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
30 of 38 79% 31 13 5% 27% 41% 22% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
29 of 38 76% 30 14 2% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1%
28 of 38 74% 29 15 <1% 5% 23% 39% 26% 6% <1% <1% <1%
27 of 38 71% 28 16 <1% 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 3% <1% <1%
26 of 38 68% 27 17 <1% <1% 4% 19% 38% 28% 9% 1% <1%
25 of 38 66% 26 18 <1% <1% 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 4% <1%
24 of 38 63% 25 19 <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
23 of 38 61% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5%
22 of 38 58% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 35% 33% 16%
21 of 38 55% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 24% 38% 31%
20 of 38 53% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 34% 52%
19 of 38 50% 20 24 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 72%
18 of 38 47% 19 25 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 88%
15 of 38 39% 16 28 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 38 26% 11 33 X X X X X X X X 100%
5 of 38 13% 6 38 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 38 0% 1 43 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs