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Sun Jun 28 10:00 pm

WNBA - Week 9 of 21

Valkyries What If?

The Valkyries What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Valkyries play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Valkyries What If?

Next Game - Dream (12‑7)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 14 7 7% 17% 21% 17% 14% 10% 7% 4% 4%
Current Standings 13 7 6% 14% 19% 17% 14% 11% 8% 5% 5%
Lose Next Game 13 8 4% 12% 18% 17% 15% 12% 9% 6% 7%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 6% 15% 21% 17% 14% 11% 8% 5% 5%
Current Standings 6% 14% 19% 17% 14% 11% 8% 5% 5%
Worst Case Scenario 6% 14% 20% 17% 15% 11% 8% 5% 6%
Best Case Scenario
   Sun beats Wings
 Worst Case Scenario
   Wings beats Sun
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
24 of 24 100% 37 7 95% 5% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 24 96% 36 8 88% 12% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 24 92% 35 9 73% 26% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 24 88% 34 10 56% 38% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 24 83% 33 11 39% 49% 13% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
19 of 24 79% 32 12 23% 51% 24% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
18 of 24 75% 31 13 12% 45% 37% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
17 of 24 71% 30 14 5% 32% 47% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 24 67% 29 15 1% 16% 46% 30% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^
15 of 24 63% 28 16 <1% 6% 34% 41% 17% 2% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 24 58% 27 17 <1% 2% 17% 41% 32% 8% 1% <1% <1%
13 of 24 54% 26 18 <1% <1% 5% 27% 41% 22% 5% <1% <1%
12 of 24 50% 25 19 <1% <1% 1% 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% <1%
11 of 24 46% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
10 of 24 42% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 22% 38% 26% 8%
9 of 24 38% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 26% 37% 28%
8 of 24 33% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 30% 60%
7 of 24 29% 20 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 86%
5 of 24 21% 18 26 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 24 0% 13 31 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs