PlayoffStatus.com

Thu May 21 1:00 am

WNBA - Week 3 of 21

Valkyries What If?

The Valkyries What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Valkyries play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Valkyries What If?

Next Game - Liberty (3‑1)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 3 1 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 38%
Current Standings 2 1 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 41%
Lose Next Game 2 2 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 42%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 12% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 38%
Current Standings 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 41%
Worst Case Scenario 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 42%
Best Case Scenario
   Valkyries beats Liberty
Worst Case Scenario
   Liberty beats Valkyries
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 9
41 of 41 100% 43 1 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
40 of 41 98% 42 2 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 41 85% 37 7 91% 9% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
34 of 41 83% 36 8 80% 19% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
33 of 41 80% 35 9 63% 33% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
32 of 41 78% 34 10 44% 43% 12% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
31 of 41 76% 33 11 26% 46% 25% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
30 of 41 73% 32 12 13% 39% 36% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
29 of 41 71% 31 13 5% 26% 42% 23% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^
28 of 41 68% 30 14 2% 13% 36% 35% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1%
27 of 41 66% 29 15 <1% 6% 23% 39% 25% 6% <1% <1% <1%
26 of 41 63% 28 16 <1% 1% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2% <1% <1%
25 of 41 61% 27 17 <1% <1% 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1% <1%
24 of 41 59% 26 18 <1% <1% 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 3% <1%
23 of 41 56% 25 19 <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
22 of 41 54% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 27% 39% 21% 5%
21 of 41 51% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 15% 36% 33% 14%
20 of 41 49% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 24% 37% 31%
19 of 41 46% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 33% 52%
18 of 41 44% 20 24 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 73%
17 of 41 41% 19 25 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 87%
15 of 41 37% 17 27 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
10 of 41 24% 12 32 X X X X X X X X 100%
5 of 41 12% 7 37 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 41 0% 2 42 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs