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Mon Sep 1 4:00 pm

WNBA - Week 17 of 18

Valkyries What If?

The Valkyries What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Valkyries play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Valkyries What If?

Next Game - Liberty (24‑16)

	Resultant Record		Playoff Spots								No Playoffs No POs
	W	L	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	9
Win Next Game	22	18	X	X	X	<1%	2%	50%	37%	11%	<1%
Current Standings	21	18	X	X	X	<1%	1%	40%	36%	22%	1%
Lose Next Game	21	19	X	X	X	X	X	29%	36%	33%	1%

Best/Worst Case Scenarios

	Playoff Spots								No Playoffs No POs
	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	9
Best Case Scenario	X	X	X	<1%	2%	50%	37%	11%	<1%
Current Standings	X	X	X	<1%	1%	40%	36%	22%	1%
Worst Case Scenario	X	X	X	X	X	29%	36%	33%	1%
Best Case Scenario Valkyries beats Liberty					Worst Case Scenario Liberty beats Valkyries

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record		Playoff Spots								No Playoffs No POs
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	9
5 of 5	100%	26	18	X	X	X	<1%	27%	73%	^	^	^
4 of 5	80%	25	19	X	X	X	X	3%	93%	5%	<1%	^
3 of 5	60%	24	20	X	X	X	X	<1%	74%	24%	1%	^
2 of 5	40%	23	21	X	X	X	X	X	23%	58%	19%	<1%
1 of 5	20%	22	22	X	X	X	X	X	1%	34%	63%	2%
0 of 5	0%	21	23	X	X	X	X	X	X	4%	81%	15%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs