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Tue Jun 9 1:00 am

WNBA - Week 6 of 21

Wings What If?

The Wings What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Wings play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Wings What If?

Next Game - Lynx (9‑2)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 8 3 20% 17% 13% 11% 9% 8% 6% 6% 11%
Current Standings 7 3 17% 16% 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 6% 13%
Lose Next Game 7 4 14% 15% 14% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 14%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 20% 17% 13% 11% 9% 8% 6% 6% 11%
Current Standings 17% 16% 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 6% 13%
Worst Case Scenario 14% 15% 14% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 14%
Best Case Scenario
   Wings beats Lynx
 Worst Case Scenario
   Lynx beats Wings
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
34 of 34 100% 41 3 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 34 88% 37 7 94% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 34 85% 36 8 87% 12% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 34 82% 35 9 77% 22% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 34 79% 34 10 63% 32% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
26 of 34 76% 33 11 47% 43% 10% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
25 of 34 74% 32 12 32% 47% 19% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
24 of 34 71% 31 13 19% 45% 30% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
23 of 34 68% 30 14 9% 35% 39% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^
22 of 34 65% 29 15 3% 22% 42% 27% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 of 34 62% 28 16 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 34 59% 27 17 <1% 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% <1% <1%
19 of 34 56% 26 18 <1% 1% 7% 26% 37% 22% 6% 1% <1%
18 of 34 53% 25 19 <1% <1% 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% <1%
17 of 34 50% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 3%
16 of 34 47% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 12%
15 of 34 44% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 35% 32%
14 of 34 41% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 60%
13 of 34 38% 20 24 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 83%
10 of 34 29% 17 27 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 34 15% 12 32 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 34 0% 7 37 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs