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Sun Jun 28 10:00 pm

WNBA - Week 9 of 21

Wings What If?

The Wings What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Wings play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Wings What If?

Next Game - Sun (4‑15)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 12 8 3% 9% 16% 16% 16% 14% 10% 7% 9%
Current Standings 11 8 3% 9% 14% 16% 15% 14% 11% 8% 11%
Lose Next Game 11 9 2% 6% 12% 16% 16% 14% 11% 9% 13%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 3% 9% 16% 16% 16% 14% 10% 7% 9%
Current Standings 3% 9% 14% 16% 15% 14% 11% 8% 11%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 6% 12% 16% 16% 14% 11% 9% 13%
Best Case Scenario
   Wings beats Sun
 Worst Case Scenario
   Sun beats Wings
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
25 of 25 100% 36 8 85% 14% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 25 96% 35 9 72% 27% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 25 92% 34 10 54% 40% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 25 88% 33 11 37% 50% 13% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
21 of 25 84% 32 12 22% 50% 25% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 25 80% 31 13 11% 42% 37% 9% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 25 76% 30 14 4% 28% 45% 20% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 25 72% 29 15 1% 15% 40% 34% 10% 1% <1% <1% ^
17 of 25 68% 28 16 <1% 6% 28% 41% 22% 3% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 25 64% 27 17 <1% 1% 13% 37% 37% 10% 1% <1% <1%
15 of 25 60% 26 18 <1% <1% 4% 23% 42% 25% 5% <1% <1%
14 of 25 56% 25 19 <1% <1% 1% 9% 32% 40% 17% 2% <1%
13 of 25 52% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
12 of 25 48% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 39% 26% 8%
11 of 25 44% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 28% 37% 27%
10 of 25 40% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 32% 56%
9 of 25 36% 20 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 82%
5 of 25 20% 16 28 X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 25 0% 11 33 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs