The Wings What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Wings play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 21 | 14 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 22% | 27% | 23% | 15% | 8% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 20 | 14 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 16% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 20 | 15 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 16% | 25% | 27% | 22% | <1% |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 5% | 22% | 27% | 23% | 15% | 8% | <1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 16% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 16% | 25% | 27% | 22% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Wings beats Fever |
Worst Case Scenario Fever beats Wings |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 10 of 10 | 100% | 30 | 14 | <1% | 8% | 40% | 44% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 10 | 90% | 29 | 15 | <1% | 1% | 16% | 53% | 26% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 8 of 10 | 80% | 28 | 16 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 31% | 44% | 19% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
| 7 of 10 | 70% | 27 | 17 | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 33% | 40% | 16% | 2% | ^ |
| 6 of 10 | 60% | 26 | 18 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 35% | 39% | 13% | ^ |
| 5 of 10 | 50% | 25 | 19 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 44% | 39% | <1% |
| 4 of 10 | 40% | 24 | 20 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 29% | 68% | <1% |
| 3 of 10 | 30% | 23 | 21 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 88% | 1% |
| 2 of 10 | 20% | 22 | 22 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 94% | 3% |
| 1 of 10 | 10% | 21 | 23 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 86% | 14% |
| 0 of 10 | 0% | 20 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 60% | 40% |