Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Chiefs | West | 8i Chiefs Recent Games Won Mon, Oct 07 vs Saints 26-13 Won Sun, Oct 20 @ 49'ers 28-18 Won Sun, Oct 27 @ Raiders 27-20 Won Mon, Nov 04 vs Bucs 30-24 Sun, Nov 10 vs Broncos Sun, Nov 17 @ Bills Sun, Nov 24 @ Panthers Fri, Nov 29 vs Raiders |
0 | 0 | 8 | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Bills | East | 7 Bills Recent Games Won Mon, Oct 14 @ Jets 23-20 Won Sun, Oct 20 vs Titans 34-10 Won Sun, Oct 27 @ Seahawks 31-10 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Dolphins 30-27 Sun, Nov 10 @ Colts Sun, Nov 17 vs Chiefs Sun, Dec 01 vs 49'ers Sun, Dec 08 @ Rams |
2 | 0 | 9 | 9% | 26% | 32% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| Steelers | North | 6 Steelers Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 06 vs Cowboys 17-20 Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Raiders 32-13 Won Sun, Oct 20 vs Jets 37-15 Won Mon, Oct 28 vs Giants 26-18 Sun, Nov 10 @ Commanders Sun, Nov 17 vs Ravens Thu, Nov 21 @ Browns Sun, Dec 01 @ Bengals |
2 | 0 | 8 | 6% | 22% | 17% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 8% | 10% |
| Texans | South | 6 Texans Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Pats 41-21 Lost Sun, Oct 20 @ Packers 22-24 Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Colts 23-20 Lost Thu, Oct 31 @ Jets 13-21 Sun, Nov 10 vs Lions Mon, Nov 18 @ Cowboys Sun, Nov 24 vs Titans Sun, Dec 01 @ Jaguars |
3 | 0 | 9 | 3% | 19% | 26% | 39% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 6% |
| Ravens | North | 6 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 13 vs Commanders 30-23 Won Mon, Oct 21 @ Bucs 41-31 Lost Sun, Oct 27 @ Browns 24-29 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Broncos 41-10 Thu, Nov 07 vs Bengals Sun, Nov 17 @ Steelers Mon, Nov 25 @ Chargers Sun, Dec 01 vs Eagles |
3 | 0 | 9 | 1% | 19% | 14% | 7% | 18% | 18% | 11% | 12% |
| Chargers | West | 5 Chargers Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Broncos 23-16 Lost Mon, Oct 21 @ Cards 15-17 Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Saints 26-8 Won Sun, Nov 03 @ Browns 27-10 Sun, Nov 10 vs Titans Sun, Nov 17 vs Bengals Mon, Nov 25 vs Ravens Sun, Dec 01 @ Falcons |
3 | 0 | 8 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 41% | 21% | 14% | 21% |
| Broncos | West | 5 Broncos Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 vs Chargers 16-23 Won Thu, Oct 17 @ Saints 33-10 Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Panthers 28-14 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Ravens 10-41 Sun, Nov 10 @ Chiefs Sun, Nov 17 vs Falcons Sun, Nov 24 @ Raiders Mon, Dec 02 vs Browns |
4 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 17% | 20% | 52% |
| Colts | South | 4 Colts Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Titans 20-17 Won Sun, Oct 20 vs Dolphins 16-10 Lost Sun, Oct 27 @ Texans 20-23 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Vikings 13-21 Sun, Nov 10 vs Bills Sun, Nov 17 @ Jets Sun, Nov 24 vs Lions Sun, Dec 01 @ Pats |
5 | 0 | 9 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 54% |
| Bengals | North | 4 Bengals Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Giants 17-7 Won Sun, Oct 20 @ Browns 21-14 Lost Sun, Oct 27 vs Eagles 17-37 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Raiders 41-24 Thu, Nov 07 @ Ravens Sun, Nov 17 @ Chargers Sun, Dec 01 vs Steelers Mon, Dec 09 @ Cowboys |
5 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 75% |
| Jets | East | 3 Jets Recent Games Lost Mon, Oct 14 vs Bills 20-23 Lost Sun, Oct 20 @ Steelers 15-37 Lost Sun, Oct 27 @ Pats 22-25 Won Thu, Oct 31 vs Texans 21-13 Sun, Nov 10 @ Cards Sun, Nov 17 vs Colts Sun, Dec 01 vs Seahawks Sun, Dec 08 @ Dolphins |
6 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 84% |
| Titans | South | 2 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 vs Colts 17-20 Lost Sun, Oct 20 @ Bills 10-34 Lost Sun, Oct 27 @ Lions 14-52 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Pats 20-17 Sun, Nov 10 @ Chargers Sun, Nov 17 vs Vikings Sun, Nov 24 @ Texans Sun, Dec 01 @ Commanders |
6 | 0 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 95% |
| Dolphins | East | 2 Dolphins Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 06 @ Pats 15-10 Lost Sun, Oct 20 @ Colts 10-16 Lost Sun, Oct 27 vs Cards 27-28 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Bills 27-30 Mon, Nov 11 @ Rams Sun, Nov 17 vs Raiders Sun, Nov 24 vs Pats Thu, Nov 28 @ Packers |
6 | 0 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| Browns | North | 2 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 @ Eagles 16-20 Lost Sun, Oct 20 vs Bengals 14-21 Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Ravens 29-24 Lost Sun, Nov 03 vs Chargers 10-27 Sun, Nov 17 @ Saints Thu, Nov 21 vs Steelers Mon, Dec 02 @ Broncos Sun, Dec 08 @ Steelers |
7 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Jaguars | South | 2 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 @ Bears 16-35 Won Sun, Oct 20 vs Pats 32-16 Lost Sun, Oct 27 vs Packers 27-30 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Eagles 23-28 Sun, Nov 10 vs Vikings Sun, Nov 17 @ Lions Sun, Dec 01 vs Texans Sun, Dec 08 @ Titans |
7 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Patriots | East | 2 Patriots Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 vs Texans 21-41 Lost Sun, Oct 20 @ Jaguars 16-32 Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Jets 25-22 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Titans 17-20 Sun, Nov 10 @ Bears Sun, Nov 17 vs Rams Sun, Nov 24 @ Dolphins Sun, Dec 01 vs Colts |
7 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Raiders | West | 2 Raiders Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 vs Steelers 13-32 Lost Sun, Oct 20 @ Rams 15-20 Lost Sun, Oct 27 vs Chiefs 20-27 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Bengals 24-41 Sun, Nov 17 @ Dolphins Sun, Nov 24 vs Broncos Fri, Nov 29 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 08 @ Bucs |
7 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |