Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Patriots | East | 11i Patriots Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 09 @ Bucs 28-23 Won Thu, Nov 13 vs Jets 27-14 Won Sun, Nov 23 @ Bengals 26-20 Won Mon, Dec 01 vs Giants 33-15 Sun, Dec 14 vs Bills Sun, Dec 21 @ Ravens Sun, Dec 28 @ Jets Sun, Jan 04 vs Dolphins |
2 | 0 | 13 | 43% | 44% | 4% | <1% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Broncos | West | 10 Broncos Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 02 @ Texans 18-15 Won Thu, Nov 06 vs Raiders 10-7 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Chiefs 22-19 Won Sun, Nov 30 @ Commanders 27-26 Sun, Dec 07 @ Raiders Sun, Dec 14 vs Packers Sun, Dec 21 vs Jaguars Thu, Dec 25 @ Chiefs |
2 | 0 | 12 | 51% | 31% | 10% | <1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Jaguars | South | 8 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Texans 29-36 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Chargers 35-6 Won Sun, Nov 23 @ Cards 27-24 Won Sun, Nov 30 @ Titans 25-3 Sun, Dec 07 vs Colts Sun, Dec 14 vs Jets Sun, Dec 21 @ Broncos Sun, Dec 28 @ Colts |
4 | 0 | 12 | 3% | 12% | 31% | 1% | 10% | 17% | 14% | 11% |
| Ravens | North | 6 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 09 @ Vikings 27-19 Won Sun, Nov 16 @ Browns 23-16 Won Sun, Nov 23 vs Jets 23-10 Lost Thu, Nov 27 vs Bengals 14-32 Sun, Dec 07 vs Steelers Sun, Dec 14 @ Bengals Sun, Dec 21 vs Pats Sun, Dec 28 @ Packers |
6 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 38% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 62% |
| Chargers | West | 8 Chargers Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 02 @ Titans 27-20 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Steelers 22-10 Lost Sun, Nov 16 @ Jaguars 6-35 Won Sun, Nov 30 vs Raiders 31-14 Mon, Dec 08 vs Eagles Sun, Dec 14 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 21 @ Cowboys Sun, Dec 28 vs Texans |
4 | 0 | 12 | 1% | 3% | 4% | <1% | 18% | 18% | 19% | 38% |
| Colts | South | 8 Colts Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 02 @ Steelers 20-27 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Falcons 31-25 Lost Sun, Nov 23 @ Chiefs 20-23 Lost Sun, Nov 30 vs Texans 16-20 Sun, Dec 07 @ Jaguars Sun, Dec 14 @ Seahawks Mon, Dec 22 vs 49ers Sun, Dec 28 vs Jaguars |
4 | 0 | 12 | <1% | 3% | 18% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 19% | 41% |
| Bills | East | 8 Bills Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Dolphins 13-30 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Bucs 44-32 Lost Thu, Nov 20 @ Texans 19-23 Won Sun, Nov 30 @ Steelers 26-7 Sun, Dec 07 vs Bengals Sun, Dec 14 @ Pats Sun, Dec 21 @ Browns Sun, Dec 28 vs Eagles |
4 | 0 | 12 | 2% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 25% | 14% | 9% |
| Texans | South | 7 Texans Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Jaguars 36-29 Won Sun, Nov 16 @ Titans 16-13 Won Thu, Nov 20 vs Bills 23-19 Won Sun, Nov 30 @ Colts 20-16 Sun, Dec 07 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 14 vs Cards Sun, Dec 21 vs Raiders Sun, Dec 28 @ Chargers |
5 | 0 | 12 | <1% | 1% | 27% | <1% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 27% |
| Steelers | North | 6 Steelers Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Chargers 10-22 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Bengals 34-12 Lost Sun, Nov 23 @ Bears 28-31 Lost Sun, Nov 30 vs Bills 7-26 Sun, Dec 07 @ Ravens Mon, Dec 15 vs Dolphins Sun, Dec 21 @ Lions Sun, Dec 28 @ Browns |
6 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 53% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 43% |
| Chiefs | West | 6 Chiefs Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 02 @ Bills 21-28 Lost Sun, Nov 16 @ Broncos 19-22 Won Sun, Nov 23 vs Colts 23-20 Lost Thu, Nov 27 @ Cowboys 28-31 Sun, Dec 07 vs Texans Sun, Dec 14 vs Chargers Sun, Dec 21 @ Titans Thu, Dec 25 vs Broncos |
6 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 76% |
| Dolphins | East | 5 Dolphins Recent Games Lost Thu, Oct 30 vs Ravens 6-28 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Bills 30-13 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Commanders 16-13 Won Sun, Nov 30 vs Saints 21-17 Sun, Dec 07 @ Jets Mon, Dec 15 @ Steelers Sun, Dec 21 vs Bengals Sun, Dec 28 vs Bucs |
7 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Bengals | North | 4 Bengals Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Bears 42-47 Lost Sun, Nov 16 @ Steelers 12-34 Lost Sun, Nov 23 vs Pats 20-26 Won Thu, Nov 27 @ Ravens 32-14 Sun, Dec 07 @ Bills Sun, Dec 14 vs Ravens Sun, Dec 21 @ Dolphins Sun, Dec 28 vs Cards |
8 | 0 | 12 | X | X | <1% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 93% |
| Jets | East | 3 Jets Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Browns 27-20 Lost Thu, Nov 13 @ Pats 14-27 Lost Sun, Nov 23 @ Ravens 10-23 Won Sun, Nov 30 vs Falcons 27-24 Sun, Dec 07 vs Dolphins Sun, Dec 14 @ Jaguars Sun, Dec 21 @ Saints Sun, Dec 28 vs Pats |
9 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Browns | North | 3 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Jets 20-27 Lost Sun, Nov 16 vs Ravens 16-23 Won Sun, Nov 23 @ Raiders 24-10 Lost Sun, Nov 30 vs 49ers 8-26 Sun, Dec 07 vs Titans Sun, Dec 14 @ Bears Sun, Dec 21 vs Bills Sun, Dec 28 vs Steelers |
9 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Raiders | West | 2 Raiders Recent Games Lost Thu, Nov 06 @ Broncos 7-10 Lost Mon, Nov 17 vs Cowboys 16-33 Lost Sun, Nov 23 vs Browns 10-24 Lost Sun, Nov 30 @ Chargers 14-31 Sun, Dec 07 vs Broncos Sun, Dec 14 @ Eagles Sun, Dec 21 @ Texans Sun, Dec 28 vs Giants |
10 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Titans | South | 1 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Chargers 20-27 Lost Sun, Nov 16 vs Texans 13-16 Lost Sun, Nov 23 vs Seahawks 24-30 Lost Sun, Nov 30 vs Jaguars 3-25 Sun, Dec 07 @ Browns Sun, Dec 14 @ 49ers Sun, Dec 21 vs Chiefs Sun, Dec 28 vs Saints |
11 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |