Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot.  All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.  Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Colts | South | 7i Colts Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 12 vs Cards 31-27 Won Sun, Oct 19 @ Chargers 38-24 Won Sun, Oct 26 vs Titans 38-14 Lost Sun, Nov 02 @ Steelers 20-27 Sun, Nov 09 vs Falcons Sun, Nov 23 @ Chiefs Sun, Nov 30 vs Texans Sun, Dec 07 @ Jaguars |
2 | 0 | 9 | 21% | 18% | 17% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 9% |
| Broncos | West | 7 Broncos Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 12 @ Jets 13-11 Won Sun, Oct 19 vs Giants 33-32 Won Sun, Oct 26 vs Cowboys 44-24 Won Sun, Nov 02 @ Texans 18-15 Thu, Nov 06 vs Raiders Sun, Nov 16 vs Chiefs Sun, Nov 30 @ Commanders Sun, Dec 07 @ Raiders |
2 | 0 | 9 | 23% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% |
| Patriots | East | 7 Patriots Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 12 @ Saints 25-19 Won Sun, Oct 19 @ Titans 31-13 Won Sun, Oct 26 vs Browns 32-13 Won Sun, Nov 02 vs Falcons 24-23 Sun, Nov 09 @ Bucs Thu, Nov 13 vs Jets Sun, Nov 23 @ Bengals Mon, Dec 01 vs Giants |
2 | 0 | 9 | 23% | 21% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 4% |
| Steelers | North | 5 Steelers Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 12 vs Browns 23-9 Lost Thu, Oct 16 @ Bengals 31-33 Lost Sun, Oct 26 vs Packers 25-35 Won Sun, Nov 02 vs Colts 27-20 Sun, Nov 09 @ Chargers Sun, Nov 16 vs Bengals Sun, Nov 23 @ Bears Sun, Nov 30 vs Bills |
3 | 0 | 8 | 7% | 12% | 18% | 38% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 20% |
| Bills | East | 6 Bills Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Pats 20-23 Lost Mon, Oct 13 @ Falcons 14-24 Won Sun, Oct 26 @ Panthers 40-9 Won Sun, Nov 02 vs Chiefs 28-21 Sun, Nov 09 @ Dolphins Sun, Nov 16 vs Bucs Thu, Nov 20 @ Texans Sun, Nov 30 @ Steelers |
2 | 0 | 8 | 14% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 13% |
| Chargers | West | 6 Chargers Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 12 @ Dolphins 29-27 Lost Sun, Oct 19 vs Colts 24-38 Won Thu, Oct 23 vs Vikings 37-10 Won Sun, Nov 02 @ Titans 27-20 Sun, Nov 09 vs Steelers Sun, Nov 16 @ Jaguars Sun, Nov 30 vs Raiders Mon, Dec 08 vs Eagles |
3 | 0 | 9 | 5% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 28% |
| Jaguars | South | 5 Jaguars Recent Games Won Mon, Oct 06 vs Chiefs 31-28 Lost Sun, Oct 12 vs Seahawks 12-20 Lost Sun, Oct 19 vs Rams 7-35 Won Sun, Nov 02 @ Raiders 30-29 Sun, Nov 09 @ Texans Sun, Nov 16 vs Chargers Sun, Nov 23 @ Cards Sun, Nov 30 @ Titans |
3 | 0 | 8 | 7% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 26% |
| Chiefs | West | 5 Chiefs Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 12 vs Lions 30-17 Won Sun, Oct 19 vs Raiders 31-0 Won Mon, Oct 27 vs Commanders 28-7 Lost Sun, Nov 02 @ Bills 21-28 Sun, Nov 16 @ Broncos Sun, Nov 23 vs Colts Thu, Nov 27 @ Cowboys Sun, Dec 07 vs Texans |
4 | 0 | 9 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 53% |
| Texans | South | 3 Texans Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Ravens 44-10 Lost Mon, Oct 20 @ Seahawks 19-27 Won Sun, Oct 26 vs 49ers 26-15 Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Broncos 15-18 Sun, Nov 09 vs Jaguars Sun, Nov 16 @ Titans Thu, Nov 20 vs Bills Sun, Nov 30 @ Colts |
5 | 0 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 81% |
| Ravens | North | 3 Ravens Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Texans 10-44 Lost Sun, Oct 12 vs Rams 3-17 Won Sun, Oct 26 vs Bears 30-16 Won Thu, Oct 30 @ Dolphins 28-6 Sun, Nov 09 @ Vikings Sun, Nov 16 @ Browns Sun, Nov 23 vs Jets Thu, Nov 27 vs Bengals |
5 | 0 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 82% |
| Bengals | North | 3 Bengals Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 12 @ Packers 18-27 Won Thu, Oct 16 vs Steelers 33-31 Lost Sun, Oct 26 vs Jets 38-39 Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Bears 42-47 Sun, Nov 16 @ Steelers Sun, Nov 23 vs Pats Thu, Nov 27 @ Ravens Sun, Dec 07 @ Bills |
6 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 86% |
| Raiders | West | 2 Raiders Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 05 @ Colts 6-40 Won Sun, Oct 12 vs Titans 20-10 Lost Sun, Oct 19 @ Chiefs 0-31 Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Jaguars 29-30 Thu, Nov 06 @ Broncos Mon, Nov 17 vs Cowboys Sun, Nov 23 vs Browns Sun, Nov 30 @ Chargers |
6 | 0 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 98% |
| Browns | North | 2 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Vikings 17-21 Lost Sun, Oct 12 @ Steelers 9-23 Won Sun, Oct 19 vs Dolphins 31-6 Lost Sun, Oct 26 @ Pats 13-32 Sun, Nov 09 @ Jets Sun, Nov 16 vs Ravens Sun, Nov 23 @ Raiders Sun, Nov 30 vs 49ers |
6 | 0 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Dolphins | East | 2 Dolphins Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 12 vs Chargers 27-29 Lost Sun, Oct 19 @ Browns 6-31 Won Sun, Oct 26 @ Falcons 34-10 Lost Thu, Oct 30 vs Ravens 6-28 Sun, Nov 09 vs Bills Sun, Nov 16 vs Commanders Sun, Nov 30 vs Saints Sun, Dec 07 @ Jets |
7 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Jets | East | 1 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Cowboys 22-37 Lost Sun, Oct 12 vs Broncos 11-13 Lost Sun, Oct 19 vs Panthers 6-13 Won Sun, Oct 26 @ Bengals 39-38 Sun, Nov 09 vs Browns Thu, Nov 13 @ Pats Sun, Nov 23 @ Ravens Sun, Nov 30 vs Falcons |
7 | 0 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Titans | South | 1 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 12 @ Raiders 10-20 Lost Sun, Oct 19 vs Pats 13-31 Lost Sun, Oct 26 @ Colts 14-38 Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Chargers 20-27 Sun, Nov 16 vs Texans Sun, Nov 23 vs Seahawks Sun, Nov 30 vs Jaguars Sun, Dec 07 @ Browns |
8 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |