Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Chiefs | West | 10i Chiefs Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 04 vs Bucs 30-24 Won Sun, Nov 10 vs Broncos 16-14 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Bills 21-30 Won Sun, Nov 24 @ Panthers 30-27 Fri, Nov 29 vs Raiders Sun, Dec 08 vs Chargers Sun, Dec 15 @ Browns Sat, Dec 21 vs Texans |
1 | 0 | 11 | 66% | 23% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Bills | East | 9 Bills Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 27 @ Seahawks 31-10 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Dolphins 30-27 Won Sun, Nov 10 @ Colts 30-20 Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Chiefs 30-21 Sun, Dec 01 vs 49'ers Sun, Dec 08 @ Rams Sun, Dec 15 @ Lions Sun, Dec 22 vs Pats |
2 | 0 | 11 | 27% | 56% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Steelers | North | 8 Steelers Recent Games Won Mon, Oct 28 vs Giants 26-18 Won Sun, Nov 10 @ Commanders 28-27 Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Ravens 18-16 Lost Thu, Nov 21 @ Browns 19-24 Sun, Dec 01 @ Bengals Sun, Dec 08 vs Browns Sun, Dec 15 @ Eagles Sat, Dec 21 @ Ravens |
3 | 0 | 11 | 4% | 11% | 44% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 5% | 3% |
| Texans | South | 7 Texans Recent Games Lost Thu, Oct 31 @ Jets 13-21 Lost Sun, Nov 10 vs Lions 23-26 Won Mon, Nov 18 @ Cowboys 34-10 Lost Sun, Nov 24 vs Titans 27-32 Sun, Dec 01 @ Jaguars Sun, Dec 15 vs Dolphins Sat, Dec 21 @ Chiefs Wed, Dec 25 vs Ravens |
5 | 0 | 12 | <1% | 1% | 14% | 71% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% |
| Chargers | West | 7 Chargers Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Saints 26-8 Won Sun, Nov 03 @ Browns 27-10 Won Sun, Nov 10 vs Titans 27-17 Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Bengals 34-27 Mon, Nov 25 vs Ravens Sun, Dec 01 @ Falcons Sun, Dec 08 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 15 vs Bucs |
3 | 0 | 10 | 2% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 53% | 22% | 13% | 7% |
| Ravens | North | 7 Ravens Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 27 @ Browns 24-29 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Broncos 41-10 Won Thu, Nov 07 vs Bengals 35-34 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Steelers 16-18 Mon, Nov 25 @ Chargers Sun, Dec 01 vs Eagles Sun, Dec 15 @ Giants Sat, Dec 21 vs Steelers |
4 | 0 | 11 | <1% | 5% | 21% | 5% | 17% | 26% | 15% | 10% |
| Broncos | West | 7 Broncos Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Ravens 10-41 Lost Sun, Nov 10 @ Chiefs 14-16 Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Falcons 38-6 Won Sun, Nov 24 @ Raiders 29-19 Mon, Dec 02 vs Browns Sun, Dec 15 vs Colts Sun, Dec 22 @ Chargers Sun, Dec 29 @ Bengals |
5 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 24% | 34% | 30% |
| Dolphins | East | 5 Dolphins Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Bills 27-30 Won Mon, Nov 11 @ Rams 23-15 Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Raiders 34-19 Won Sun, Nov 24 vs Pats 34-15 Thu, Nov 28 @ Packers Sun, Dec 08 vs Jets Sun, Dec 15 @ Texans Sun, Dec 22 vs 49'ers |
6 | 0 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 81% |
| Colts | South | 5 Colts Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Vikings 13-21 Lost Sun, Nov 10 vs Bills 20-30 Won Sun, Nov 17 @ Jets 28-27 Lost Sun, Nov 24 vs Lions 6-24 Sun, Dec 01 @ Pats Sun, Dec 15 @ Broncos Sun, Dec 22 vs Titans Sun, Dec 29 @ Giants |
7 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 1% | 7% | 14% | 68% |
| Bengals | North | 4 Bengals Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 27 vs Eagles 17-37 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Raiders 41-24 Lost Thu, Nov 07 @ Ravens 34-35 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Chargers 27-34 Sun, Dec 01 vs Steelers Mon, Dec 09 @ Cowboys Sun, Dec 15 @ Titans Thu, Dec 19 vs Browns |
7 | 0 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| Browns | North | 3 Browns Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Ravens 29-24 Lost Sun, Nov 03 vs Chargers 10-27 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Saints 14-35 Won Thu, Nov 21 vs Steelers 24-19 Mon, Dec 02 @ Broncos Sun, Dec 08 @ Steelers Sun, Dec 15 vs Chiefs Thu, Dec 19 @ Bengals |
8 | 0 | 11 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Jets | East | 3 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 27 @ Pats 22-25 Won Thu, Oct 31 vs Texans 21-13 Lost Sun, Nov 10 @ Cards 6-31 Lost Sun, Nov 17 vs Colts 27-28 Sun, Dec 01 vs Seahawks Sun, Dec 08 @ Dolphins Sun, Dec 15 @ Jaguars Sun, Dec 22 vs Rams |
8 | 0 | 11 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Titans | South | 3 Titans Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Pats 20-17 Lost Sun, Nov 10 @ Chargers 17-27 Lost Sun, Nov 17 vs Vikings 13-23 Won Sun, Nov 24 @ Texans 32-27 Sun, Dec 01 @ Commanders Sun, Dec 08 vs Jaguars Sun, Dec 15 vs Bengals Sun, Dec 22 @ Colts |
8 | 0 | 11 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 95% |
| Patriots | East | 3 Patriots Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Titans 17-20 Won Sun, Nov 10 @ Bears 19-3 Lost Sun, Nov 17 vs Rams 22-28 Lost Sun, Nov 24 @ Dolphins 15-34 Sun, Dec 01 vs Colts Sun, Dec 15 @ Cards Sun, Dec 22 @ Bills Sun, Dec 29 vs Chargers |
9 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Jaguars | South | 2 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 27 vs Packers 27-30 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Eagles 23-28 Lost Sun, Nov 10 vs Vikings 7-12 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Lions 6-52 Sun, Dec 01 vs Texans Sun, Dec 08 @ Titans Sun, Dec 15 vs Jets Sun, Dec 22 @ Raiders |
9 | 0 | 11 | X | X | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Raiders | West | 2 Raiders Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 27 vs Chiefs 20-27 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Bengals 24-41 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Dolphins 19-34 Lost Sun, Nov 24 vs Broncos 19-29 Fri, Nov 29 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 08 @ Bucs Mon, Dec 16 vs Falcons Sun, Dec 22 vs Jaguars |
9 | 0 | 11 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |