Where are the Bills going in the playoff? The Bills playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Bills will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Chiefs | West | 10i Chiefs Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 04 vs Bucs 30-24 Won Sun, Nov 10 vs Broncos 16-14 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Bills 21-30 Won Sun, Nov 24 @ Panthers 30-27 Fri, Nov 29 vs Raiders Sun, Dec 08 vs Chargers Sun, Dec 15 @ Browns Sat, Dec 21 vs Texans |
1 | 0 | 11 | 66% | 23% | 4% | <1% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Bills | East | 9 Bills Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 27 @ Seahawks 31-10 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Dolphins 30-27 Won Sun, Nov 10 @ Colts 30-20 Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Chiefs 30-21 Sun, Dec 01 vs 49'ers Sun, Dec 08 @ Rams Sun, Dec 15 @ Lions Sun, Dec 22 vs Pats |
2 | 0 | 11 | 27% | 56% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Steelers | North | 8 Steelers Recent Games Won Mon, Oct 28 vs Giants 26-18 Won Sun, Nov 10 @ Commanders 28-27 Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Ravens 18-16 Lost Thu, Nov 21 @ Browns 19-24 Sun, Dec 01 @ Bengals Sun, Dec 08 vs Browns Sun, Dec 15 @ Eagles Sat, Dec 21 @ Ravens |
3 | 0 | 11 | 4% | 11% | 44% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 5% | 3% |
| Texans | South | 7 Texans Recent Games Lost Thu, Oct 31 @ Jets 13-21 Lost Sun, Nov 10 vs Lions 23-26 Won Mon, Nov 18 @ Cowboys 34-10 Lost Sun, Nov 24 vs Titans 27-32 Sun, Dec 01 @ Jaguars Sun, Dec 15 vs Dolphins Sat, Dec 21 @ Chiefs Wed, Dec 25 vs Ravens |
5 | 0 | 12 | <1% | 1% | 14% | 71% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% |
| Chargers | West | 7 Chargers Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Saints 26-8 Won Sun, Nov 03 @ Browns 27-10 Won Sun, Nov 10 vs Titans 27-17 Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Bengals 34-27 Mon, Nov 25 vs Ravens Sun, Dec 01 @ Falcons Sun, Dec 08 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 15 vs Bucs |
3 | 0 | 10 | 2% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 53% | 22% | 13% | 7% |
| Ravens | North | 7 Ravens Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 27 @ Browns 24-29 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Broncos 41-10 Won Thu, Nov 07 vs Bengals 35-34 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Steelers 16-18 Mon, Nov 25 @ Chargers Sun, Dec 01 vs Eagles Sun, Dec 15 @ Giants Sat, Dec 21 vs Steelers |
4 | 0 | 11 | <1% | 5% | 21% | 5% | 17% | 26% | 15% | 10% |
| Broncos | West | 7 Broncos Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Ravens 10-41 Lost Sun, Nov 10 @ Chiefs 14-16 Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Falcons 38-6 Won Sun, Nov 24 @ Raiders 29-19 Mon, Dec 02 vs Browns Sun, Dec 15 vs Colts Sun, Dec 22 @ Chargers Sun, Dec 29 @ Bengals |
5 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 24% | 34% | 30% |
| Dolphins | East | 5 Dolphins Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Bills 27-30 Won Mon, Nov 11 @ Rams 23-15 Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Raiders 34-19 Won Sun, Nov 24 vs Pats 34-15 Thu, Nov 28 @ Packers Sun, Dec 08 vs Jets Sun, Dec 15 @ Texans Sun, Dec 22 vs 49'ers |
6 | 0 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 81% |
| Colts | South | 5 Colts Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Vikings 13-21 Lost Sun, Nov 10 vs Bills 20-30 Won Sun, Nov 17 @ Jets 28-27 Lost Sun, Nov 24 vs Lions 6-24 Sun, Dec 01 @ Pats Sun, Dec 15 @ Broncos Sun, Dec 22 vs Titans Sun, Dec 29 @ Giants |
7 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 1% | 7% | 14% | 68% |
| Bengals | North | 4 Bengals Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 27 vs Eagles 17-37 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Raiders 41-24 Lost Thu, Nov 07 @ Ravens 34-35 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Chargers 27-34 Sun, Dec 01 vs Steelers Mon, Dec 09 @ Cowboys Sun, Dec 15 @ Titans Thu, Dec 19 vs Browns |
7 | 0 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| Browns | North | 3 Browns Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Ravens 29-24 Lost Sun, Nov 03 vs Chargers 10-27 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Saints 14-35 Won Thu, Nov 21 vs Steelers 24-19 Mon, Dec 02 @ Broncos Sun, Dec 08 @ Steelers Sun, Dec 15 vs Chiefs Thu, Dec 19 @ Bengals |
8 | 0 | 11 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Jets | East | 3 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 27 @ Pats 22-25 Won Thu, Oct 31 vs Texans 21-13 Lost Sun, Nov 10 @ Cards 6-31 Lost Sun, Nov 17 vs Colts 27-28 Sun, Dec 01 vs Seahawks Sun, Dec 08 @ Dolphins Sun, Dec 15 @ Jaguars Sun, Dec 22 vs Rams |
8 | 0 | 11 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Titans | South | 3 Titans Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Pats 20-17 Lost Sun, Nov 10 @ Chargers 17-27 Lost Sun, Nov 17 vs Vikings 13-23 Won Sun, Nov 24 @ Texans 32-27 Sun, Dec 01 @ Commanders Sun, Dec 08 vs Jaguars Sun, Dec 15 vs Bengals Sun, Dec 22 @ Colts |
8 | 0 | 11 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 95% |
| Patriots | East | 3 Patriots Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Titans 17-20 Won Sun, Nov 10 @ Bears 19-3 Lost Sun, Nov 17 vs Rams 22-28 Lost Sun, Nov 24 @ Dolphins 15-34 Sun, Dec 01 vs Colts Sun, Dec 15 @ Cards Sun, Dec 22 @ Bills Sun, Dec 29 vs Chargers |
9 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Jaguars | South | 2 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 27 vs Packers 27-30 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Eagles 23-28 Lost Sun, Nov 10 vs Vikings 7-12 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Lions 6-52 Sun, Dec 01 vs Texans Sun, Dec 08 @ Titans Sun, Dec 15 vs Jets Sun, Dec 22 @ Raiders |
9 | 0 | 11 | X | X | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Raiders | West | 2 Raiders Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 27 vs Chiefs 20-27 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Bengals 24-41 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Dolphins 19-34 Lost Sun, Nov 24 vs Broncos 19-29 Fri, Nov 29 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 08 @ Bucs Mon, Dec 16 vs Falcons Sun, Dec 22 vs Jaguars |
9 | 0 | 11 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Record | Total | Home (73%) |
Away (<1%) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | T | |||
| Bye | 27% | |||||
| (7)Broncos | 7 | 5 | 0 | 23% | 23% | <1% |
| (6)Ravens | 7 | 4 | 0 | 12% | 12% | <1% |
| (5)Chargers | 7 | 3 | 0 | 12% | 12% | <1% |
| (9)Colts | 5 | 7 | 0 | 9% | 9% | <1% |
| (8)Dolphins | 5 | 6 | 0 | 8% | 8% | <1% |
| (3)Steelers | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5% | 5% | <1% |
| (10)Bengals | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (4)Texans | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (13)Titans | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (12)Jets | 3 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (1)Chiefs | 10 | 1 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (11)Browns | 3 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (15)Jaguars | 2 | 9 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (14)Patriots | 3 | 9 | 0 | <1% | <1% | X |
| (16)Raiders | 2 | 9 | 0 | <1% | <1% | X |
| Elimination | <1% | |||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardinals (6‑5) |
34‑28 | Home | Sun Sep 8, 1:00 pm |
| 2 | Dolphins (5‑6) |
31‑10 | Away | Thu Sep 12, 8:15 pm |
| 3 | Jaguars (2‑9) |
47‑10 | Home | Mon Sep 23, 7:30 pm |
| 4 | Ravens (7‑4) |
10‑35 | Away | Sun Sep 29, 8:20 pm |
| 5 | Texans (7‑5) |
20‑23 | Away | Sun Oct 6, 1:00 pm |
| 6 | Jets (3‑8) |
23‑20 | Away | Mon Oct 14, 8:15 pm |
| 7 | Titans (3‑8) |
34‑10 | Home | Sun Oct 20, 1:00 pm |
| 8 | Seahawks (6‑5) |
31‑10 | Away | Sun Oct 27, 4:05 pm |
| 9 | Dolphins (5‑6) |
30‑27 | Home | Sun Nov 3, 1:00 pm |
| 10 | Colts (5‑7) |
30‑20 | Away | Sun Nov 10, 1:00 pm |
| 11 | Chiefs (10‑1) |
30‑21 | Home | Sun Nov 17, 4:25 pm |
| 13 | Forty-Niners49'ers (5‑5) |
Home | Sun Dec 1, 8:20 pm | |
| 14 | Rams (5‑5) |
Away | Sun Dec 8, 4:25 pm | |
| 15 | Lions (10‑1) |
Away | Sun Dec 15, 4:25 pm | |
| 16 | Patriots (3‑9) |
Home | Sun Dec 22, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Jets (3‑8) |
Home | Sun Dec 29, 1:00 pm | |
| 18 | Patriots (3‑9) |
Away | Sun Jan 5, TBD |