Where are the Bills going in the playoff? The Bills playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Bills will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Chiefs | West | 8i Chiefs Recent Games Won Mon, Oct 07 vs Saints 26-13 Won Sun, Oct 20 @ 49'ers 28-18 Won Sun, Oct 27 @ Raiders 27-20 Won Mon, Nov 04 vs Bucs 30-24 Sun, Nov 10 vs Broncos Sun, Nov 17 @ Bills Sun, Nov 24 @ Panthers Fri, Nov 29 vs Raiders |
0 | 0 | 8 | 79% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Bills | East | 7 Bills Recent Games Won Mon, Oct 14 @ Jets 23-20 Won Sun, Oct 20 vs Titans 34-10 Won Sun, Oct 27 @ Seahawks 31-10 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Dolphins 30-27 Sun, Nov 10 @ Colts Sun, Nov 17 vs Chiefs Sun, Dec 01 vs 49'ers Sun, Dec 08 @ Rams |
2 | 0 | 9 | 9% | 26% | 32% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| Steelers | North | 6 Steelers Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 06 vs Cowboys 17-20 Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Raiders 32-13 Won Sun, Oct 20 vs Jets 37-15 Won Mon, Oct 28 vs Giants 26-18 Sun, Nov 10 @ Commanders Sun, Nov 17 vs Ravens Thu, Nov 21 @ Browns Sun, Dec 01 @ Bengals |
2 | 0 | 8 | 6% | 22% | 17% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 8% | 10% |
| Texans | South | 6 Texans Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Pats 41-21 Lost Sun, Oct 20 @ Packers 22-24 Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Colts 23-20 Lost Thu, Oct 31 @ Jets 13-21 Sun, Nov 10 vs Lions Mon, Nov 18 @ Cowboys Sun, Nov 24 vs Titans Sun, Dec 01 @ Jaguars |
3 | 0 | 9 | 3% | 19% | 26% | 39% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 6% |
| Ravens | North | 6 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 13 vs Commanders 30-23 Won Mon, Oct 21 @ Bucs 41-31 Lost Sun, Oct 27 @ Browns 24-29 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Broncos 41-10 Thu, Nov 07 vs Bengals Sun, Nov 17 @ Steelers Mon, Nov 25 @ Chargers Sun, Dec 01 vs Eagles |
3 | 0 | 9 | 1% | 19% | 14% | 7% | 18% | 18% | 11% | 12% |
| Chargers | West | 5 Chargers Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Broncos 23-16 Lost Mon, Oct 21 @ Cards 15-17 Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Saints 26-8 Won Sun, Nov 03 @ Browns 27-10 Sun, Nov 10 vs Titans Sun, Nov 17 vs Bengals Mon, Nov 25 vs Ravens Sun, Dec 01 @ Falcons |
3 | 0 | 8 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 41% | 21% | 14% | 21% |
| Broncos | West | 5 Broncos Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 vs Chargers 16-23 Won Thu, Oct 17 @ Saints 33-10 Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Panthers 28-14 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Ravens 10-41 Sun, Nov 10 @ Chiefs Sun, Nov 17 vs Falcons Sun, Nov 24 @ Raiders Mon, Dec 02 vs Browns |
4 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 17% | 20% | 52% |
| Colts | South | 4 Colts Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Titans 20-17 Won Sun, Oct 20 vs Dolphins 16-10 Lost Sun, Oct 27 @ Texans 20-23 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Vikings 13-21 Sun, Nov 10 vs Bills Sun, Nov 17 @ Jets Sun, Nov 24 vs Lions Sun, Dec 01 @ Pats |
5 | 0 | 9 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 15% | 54% |
| Bengals | North | 4 Bengals Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Giants 17-7 Won Sun, Oct 20 @ Browns 21-14 Lost Sun, Oct 27 vs Eagles 17-37 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Raiders 41-24 Thu, Nov 07 @ Ravens Sun, Nov 17 @ Chargers Sun, Dec 01 vs Steelers Mon, Dec 09 @ Cowboys |
5 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 75% |
| Jets | East | 3 Jets Recent Games Lost Mon, Oct 14 vs Bills 20-23 Lost Sun, Oct 20 @ Steelers 15-37 Lost Sun, Oct 27 @ Pats 22-25 Won Thu, Oct 31 vs Texans 21-13 Sun, Nov 10 @ Cards Sun, Nov 17 vs Colts Sun, Dec 01 vs Seahawks Sun, Dec 08 @ Dolphins |
6 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 84% |
| Titans | South | 2 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 vs Colts 17-20 Lost Sun, Oct 20 @ Bills 10-34 Lost Sun, Oct 27 @ Lions 14-52 Won Sun, Nov 03 vs Pats 20-17 Sun, Nov 10 @ Chargers Sun, Nov 17 vs Vikings Sun, Nov 24 @ Texans Sun, Dec 01 @ Commanders |
6 | 0 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 95% |
| Dolphins | East | 2 Dolphins Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 06 @ Pats 15-10 Lost Sun, Oct 20 @ Colts 10-16 Lost Sun, Oct 27 vs Cards 27-28 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Bills 27-30 Mon, Nov 11 @ Rams Sun, Nov 17 vs Raiders Sun, Nov 24 vs Pats Thu, Nov 28 @ Packers |
6 | 0 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| Browns | North | 2 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 @ Eagles 16-20 Lost Sun, Oct 20 vs Bengals 14-21 Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Ravens 29-24 Lost Sun, Nov 03 vs Chargers 10-27 Sun, Nov 17 @ Saints Thu, Nov 21 vs Steelers Mon, Dec 02 @ Broncos Sun, Dec 08 @ Steelers |
7 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Jaguars | South | 2 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 @ Bears 16-35 Won Sun, Oct 20 vs Pats 32-16 Lost Sun, Oct 27 vs Packers 27-30 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Eagles 23-28 Sun, Nov 10 vs Vikings Sun, Nov 17 @ Lions Sun, Dec 01 vs Texans Sun, Dec 08 @ Titans |
7 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Patriots | East | 2 Patriots Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 vs Texans 21-41 Lost Sun, Oct 20 @ Jaguars 16-32 Won Sun, Oct 27 vs Jets 25-22 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Titans 17-20 Sun, Nov 10 @ Bears Sun, Nov 17 vs Rams Sun, Nov 24 @ Dolphins Sun, Dec 01 vs Colts |
7 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Raiders | West | 2 Raiders Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 13 vs Steelers 13-32 Lost Sun, Oct 20 @ Rams 15-20 Lost Sun, Oct 27 vs Chiefs 20-27 Lost Sun, Nov 03 @ Bengals 24-41 Sun, Nov 17 @ Dolphins Sun, Nov 24 vs Broncos Fri, Nov 29 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 08 @ Bucs |
7 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Record | Total | Home (89%) |
Away (1%) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | T | |||
| Bye | 9% | |||||
| (6)Chargers | 5 | 3 | 0 | 22% | 22% | <1% |
| (7)Broncos | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14% | 14% | <1% |
| (5)Ravens | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14% | 14% | <1% |
| (8)Colts | 4 | 5 | 0 | 11% | 11% | <1% |
| (3)Steelers | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11% | 11% | <1% |
| (9)Bengals | 4 | 5 | 0 | 6% | 6% | <1% |
| (10)Jets | 3 | 6 | 0 | 4% | 4% | <1% |
| (4)Texans | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (12)Dolphins | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (1)Chiefs | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (11)Titans | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (14)Jaguars | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (16)Raiders | 2 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (13)Browns | 2 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (15)Patriots | 2 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | 1% | |||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardinals (5‑4) |
34‑28 | Home | Sun Sep 8, 1:00 pm |
| 2 | Dolphins (2‑6) |
31‑10 | Away | Thu Sep 12, 8:15 pm |
| 3 | Jaguars (2‑7) |
47‑10 | Home | Mon Sep 23, 7:30 pm |
| 4 | Ravens (6‑3) |
10‑35 | Away | Sun Sep 29, 8:20 pm |
| 5 | Texans (6‑3) |
20‑23 | Away | Sun Oct 6, 1:00 pm |
| 6 | Jets (3‑6) |
23‑20 | Away | Mon Oct 14, 8:15 pm |
| 7 | Titans (2‑6) |
34‑10 | Home | Sun Oct 20, 1:00 pm |
| 8 | Seahawks (4‑5) |
31‑10 | Away | Sun Oct 27, 4:05 pm |
| 9 | Dolphins (2‑6) |
30‑27 | Home | Sun Nov 3, 1:00 pm |
| 10 | Colts (4‑5) |
Away | Sun Nov 10, 1:00 pm | |
| 11 | Chiefs (8‑0) |
Home | Sun Nov 17, 4:25 pm | |
| 13 | Forty-Niners49'ers (4‑4) |
Home | Sun Dec 1, 8:20 pm | |
| 14 | Rams (4‑4) |
Away | Sun Dec 8, 4:25 pm | |
| 15 | Lions (7‑1) |
Away | Sun Dec 15, 4:25 pm | |
| 16 | Patriots (2‑7) |
Home | Sun Dec 22, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Jets (3‑6) |
Home | Sun Dec 29, 1:00 pm | |
| 18 | Patriots (2‑7) |
Away | Sun Jan 5, TBD |