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Fri Oct 2 12:30 am

NFL - Week 4 of 18

Browns What If?

The Browns What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Browns play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Browns What If?

Next Game - Jets (1‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 4 1 0 10% 13% 9% 5% 10% 10% 9% 32%
Current Standings 3 1 0 8% 12% 9% 5% 10% 9% 8% 38%
Lose Next Game 3 2 0 4% 10% 10% 7% 8% 10% 9% 42%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 11% 12% 9% 5% 8% 9% 8% 38%
Current Standings 8% 12% 9% 5% 10% 9% 8% 38%
Worst Case Scenario 8% 12% 9% 5% 9% 10% 9% 38%
Best Case Scenario
   Patriots beats Bills
   Titans beats Ravens
   Raiders beats Chiefs
 Worst Case Scenario
   Bills beats Patriots
   Ravens beats Titans
   Chiefs beats Raiders
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
13 of 13 100% 16 1 0 84% 15% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 13 92% 15 2 0 56% 37% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
11 of 13 85% 14 3 0 27% 48% 19% 2% 4% <1% <1% <1%
10 of 13 77% 13 4 0 7% 36% 31% 8% 14% 3% <1% <1%
9 of 13 69% 12 5 0 1% 14% 28% 15% 25% 15% 2% <1%
8 of 13 62% 11 6 0 <1% 3% 13% 16% 18% 31% 15% 3%
7 of 13 54% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 3% 11% 6% 26% 32% 22%
6 of 13 46% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 5% 1% 8% 24% 62%
5 of 13 38% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 5% 93%
4 of 13 31% 7 10 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 13 23% 6 11 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 13 15% 5 12 0 X X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
1 of 13 8% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 13 0% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs