The Chargers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Chargers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 68% | 15% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Standings | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 53% | 22% | 13% | 7% |
| Lose Next Game | 7 | 4 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 34% | 32% | 20% | 12% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 2% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 68% | 15% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Standings | 2% | 3% | 1% | <1% | 53% | 22% | 13% | 7% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 34% | 32% | 20% | 12% |
|
Best Case Scenario Chargers beats Ravens |
Worst Case Scenario Ravens beats Chargers |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 30% | 31% | 3% | X | 36% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3% | 12% | 6% | X | 79% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 12 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 89% | 7% | <1% | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 61% | 35% | 4% | <1% |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 50% | 30% | 3% |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 9 | 8 | 0 | X | X | X | X | 1% | 15% | 50% | 34% |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 20% | 80% |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 7 | 10 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 99% |