PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Oct 14 12:30 am

NFL - Week 7 of 18

Falcons What If?

The Falcons What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Falcons play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Falcons What If?

Next Game - Forty-Niners (4‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 4 2 0 9% 7% 4% 2% 20% 12% 10% 36%
Current Standings 3 2 0 6% 5% 4% 2% 16% 11% 9% 45%
Lose Next Game 3 3 0 2% 4% 5% 3% 13% 11% 10% 50%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 10% 7% 5% 2% 21% 12% 9% 35%
Current Standings 6% 5% 4% 2% 16% 11% 9% 45%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 4% 5% 3% 13% 11% 10% 51%
Best Case Scenario
   Jets beats Panthers
   Falcons beats Forty-Niners
Worst Case Scenario
   Panthers beats Jets
   Forty-Niners beats Falcons
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
12 of 12 100% 15 2 0 88% 5% X X 7% ^ ^ ^
11 of 12 92% 14 3 0 54% 20% 1% <1% 24% <1% ^ ^
10 of 12 83% 13 4 0 19% 26% 9% 1% 43% 2% <1% <1%
9 of 12 75% 12 5 0 3% 13% 15% 5% 48% 14% 1% <1%
8 of 12 67% 11 6 0 <1% 2% 8% 7% 28% 36% 16% 3%
7 of 12 58% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 24% 34% 30%
6 of 12 50% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 4% 16% 79%
5 of 12 42% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
4 of 12 33% 7 10 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 12 25% 6 11 0 X X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
2 of 12 17% 5 12 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 12 8% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 12 0% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs