The Lions What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Lions play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 8 | 1 | 0 | 58% | 16% | 3% | <1% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 7 | 1 | 0 | 51% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 7% | 4% | 3% |
| Lose Next Game | 7 | 2 | 0 | 41% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 4% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 65% | 14% | 3% | 1% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 51% | 16% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 7% | 4% | 3% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 39% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 4% |
|
Best Case Scenario Steelers beats Commanders Jaguars beats Vikings Lions beats Texans |
Worst Case Scenario Commanders beats Steelers Vikings beats Jaguars Texans beats Lions |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 9 of 9 | 100% | 16 | 1 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 9 | 89% | 15 | 2 | 0 | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 9 | 78% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 72% | 25% | <1% | X | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 9 | 67% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 33% | 40% | 5% | <1% | 21% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 5 of 9 | 56% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5% | 23% | 13% | 1% | 43% | 13% | 1% | <1% |
| 4 of 9 | 44% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 31% | 38% | 16% | 2% |
| 3 of 9 | 33% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 26% | 38% | 28% |
| 2 of 9 | 22% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 81% |
| 1 of 9 | 11% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| 0 of 9 | 0% | 7 | 10 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |