The Lions What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Lions play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 11 | 1 | 0 | 78% | 7% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 10 | 1 | 0 | 76% | 7% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 10 | 2 | 0 | 56% | 12% | <1% | <1% | 24% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 88% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 76% | 7% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 49% | 16% | <1% | <1% | 26% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Rams beats Eagles Lions beats Bears Cardinals beats Vikings |
Worst Case Scenario Eagles beats Rams Bears beats Lions Vikings beats Cardinals |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 6 of 6 | 100% | 16 | 1 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 6 | 83% | 15 | 2 | 0 | 98% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 6 | 67% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 71% | 17% | X | X | 12% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 6 | 50% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 25% | 21% | X | X | 52% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 6 | 33% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2% | 6% | 1% | <1% | 55% | 34% | 2% | ^ |
| 1 of 6 | 17% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 61% | 23% | <1% |
| 0 of 6 | 0% | 10 | 7 | 0 | X | X | X | X | 1% | 31% | 52% | 16% |